Mirroring Handset Sales, Mobile Display Market Won’t Recover Until 2011

February 25, 2009

Last month, Nokia projected mobile handset sales would fall 10 percent this year.

Displays for these units are following step, projected to fall 6.2 percent in 2009 and remain largely unchanged (up 0.3 percent) in 2010, says iSuppli.

Prices declines for displays was slow

Prices declines for displays was slow

The market won’t surpass 2008 volumes until 2011, says the research firm.

The business was already suffering from falling prices in 2008 before the sharply slowing economy and a build up for finished phone inventories cut sales volumes and added to its problems.

Display shipments at some suppliers fell by more than 40 percent in the fourth quarter.

Despite production cuts by some suppliers, prices should fall 15 percent to 20 percent in 2009, though perhaps not as much as in 2008, iSuppli says.


Opera Mini Browser Crosses 20 Million Mobile Web Users

February 25, 2009

A laggard in the desktop Web browser market, Opera is the undisputed leader in the mobile phone space with over 20 million monthly users of its Opera mini browser, a 12.1% increase from the prior month.

The “State of the Mobile Web” report released today by the Norwegian company, spotted 2 trends :

  1. The number of people using their mobile phone to access the Web keeps on growing at a double digit rate;
  2. Mobile phone users are spending more time on their handset browsing the Web pages, resulting in an 18 per cent increase in page views per users.

In January, Opera Mini users generated more than 122 million megabyte of data which is compressed 90% on average. If this data were uncompressed, Opera Mini users would have viewed more than 1.1 petabyte of data, the first month that Opera Mini servers crossed the 1 petabyte mark.

“To compare, Facebook has 1 petabyte of photos stored. We’re processing all of Facebook’s photos every month through our Opera Mini servers,” explains Opera spokesperson, Falguni Bhuta.


IBM Tops Shrinking Server Sales, But Blades Is Hot Spot

February 25, 2009

(Revenues are in Millions)

Vendor

2008 Revenue

2008 Market Share

2007 Revenue

2007 Market Share

2008/2007 Revenue Growth

1. IBM

$16,988

31.9%

$17,336

31.4%

-2.0%

2. HP

$15,751

29.5%

$16,041

29.1%

-1.8%

3. Dell

$6,199

11.6%

$6,261

11.4%

-1.0%

4. Sun

$5,377

10.1%

$5,868

10.6%

-8.4%

5. Fujitsu/FSC

$2,566

4.8%

$2,676

4.9%

-4.1%

Others

$6,451

12.1%

$6,949

12.6%

-7.2%

All Vendors

$53,332

100.0%

$55,130

100.0%

-3.3%

It will get worse before the server market improves, late this year or early 2010.

According to IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Server Tracker released today, worldwide server revenue declined 3.3% to $53.3 billion, while worldwide unit shipments grew 2.0% to 8.1 million units, for the full year 2008.

This is the first time the server market exceeded 8 million units in a calendar year, reflecting continued demand for new physical servers even as virtualization makes significant gains in the enterprise, said IDC.

“In the near term, IT customers will increasingly look for IT optimization projects with strong ROI potential and extend virtualization, consolidation, and migration programs in order to lower capital and operational costs while improving efficiencies,” said Matthew Eastwood, group vice president of IDC’s Enterprise Platforms Group in a statement.

Blade servers are hottest products in slowing server market

One bright spot is the market for blade servers – slim computers that slide into a chassis – for which revenues grew 33.3% year over year to $5.4 billion in 2008.

H-P maintained the number 1 spot in the server blade market last quarter with 54.8% revenue share and IBM finished second with 21.7% revenue share. Sun, Dell, and Fujitsu/Fujitsu-Siemens all significantly outperformed the market with year-over-year revenue growth of more than 60% respectively.


IDC: Worldwide IT Spending To Grow 0.5% In 2009; Impacting Hardware Sales

February 25, 2009

Companies expect to spend less in hardware this year, but more in software and services

Companies expect to spend less in IT hardware this year, but more in IT software and services

Don’t expect a recovery in IT this year.

Today, research firm IDC revised downward its forecast for global IT spending this year, from 2.8 per cent to 0.5 per cent, reaching $1.44 trillion.

And in the U.S., IT spending is expected to grow only 0.1 per cent at $491 billion in 2009.

For IDC, the global recession greatest impact will be felt in hardware markets, where overall spending growth will be –3.6 per cent this year, led by a steep decline in sales of servers, PCs, and printers/MFPs.

In contrast, worldwide spending on software and IT services are each expected to grow 3.4% in 2009, down from 4.6% and 3.7% growth respectively in the previous forecast.

“Fourth quarter data from a number of key markets and geographies clearly shows that companies have been very quick to pull back their spending,” said John Gantz, chief research officer at IDC.

“The data also provides a clearer picture of how companies are curbing their expenditures. Investments in software and services are being maintained in pursuit of productivity and efficiency gains while hardware spending is being slashed in an attempt to stretch refresh cycles and squeeze more out of existing assets.”


Google Joins Mozilla, Opera In EU Antitrust Investigation Against Microsoft; Significant Fine Seeked

February 25, 2009
Sundar Pichai, which is behind the successful launch of Google's Chrome Internet browser, explains why Google is joining the fight against Microsoft (credit: niallkennedy)

Sundar Pichai, which is behind the successful launch of Google's Chrome Internet browser, explains why Google is joining the fight against Microsoft (credit: niallkennedy)

Google recently announced that it is supporting the European Union antitrust proceedings against Microsoft’s bundling of Internet Explorer into Windows, joining Mozilla (Firefox) and Opera.

Apple which holds an 8 per cent market share is now the only “major” Web browser maker that has not join the fight against Microsoft.

“Google believes that the browser market is still largely uncompetitive, which holds back innovation for users. This is because Internet Explorer is tied to Microsoft’s dominant computer operating system, giving it an unfair advantage over other browsers,” wrote Sundar Pichai, a Google vice president for product management in a blog post.

“The value of competition for users (even in the limited form we see today) is clear: tabbed browsing, faster downloads, private browsing features, and more.”

Microsoft has until March 12 to respond to the EU commission’s objections, which is threatening the software maker with a “significant fine” and may require it to disable Internet Explorer “code” and offer a range of competing browsers in all new PCs, including Mozilla’s Firefox, Google Chrome, Apple Safari or Opera.

The latest EU investigation stems from a complaint filed in December 2007 by Norwegian browser maker Opera Software.


Microsoft Overpaid Severance Package, Was It A Bug?

February 25, 2009
Some of Microsoft's first 1,400 laid off employees received a bigger severance pay than expected. The next 3,600 will not be so lucky!

Some of Microsoft's first 1,400 laid off employees received a bigger severance pay than expected. The next 3,600 will not be so lucky!

[Update: In an interesting reversal, Microsoft said it will not attempt to recoup the overpaid severance money from the 25 recently laid-off workers. Why did it way so long to do the right thing? It couldn't be that much anyway :-]

The post was originally published on Monday, February 23th.

Over the weekend, Microsoft confirmed it sent out letters to some of its 1,400 ex-employees that were let go last January to return some of their generous severance pay!

Could this have been a bug in Windows, Excel…?

Pointing to an “inadvertent administrative error”, the software company “overpaid” the sacked employees. But now it wants its money back, recession oblige!

Personally, I’ll keep the money and point back to some “mailing error” :-)

3,600 more employees are expected to leave the company by the end of the year. Make sure you are not “underpaid” this time.

Microsoft bugs are usually hard to predict!


Solar Market Battered By Oversupply And Tight Credit

February 24, 2009

The solar industry is being battered by falling prices and tight credit.

First Solar is ready to cut prices and extend pament terms

First Solar is ready to cut prices and extend payment terms

Oversupply is trimming solar-cell prices at the same time as utilities can’t find bank financing to build large-scale solar farms, said First Solar CEO Michael Ahearn.

“The short-term outlook has never looked more difficult,” he said Tuesday on an earnings conference call. “We regard oversupply as a risk we need to monitor closely.”

Ahearn’s downbeat assessment of the industry came as he projected first-quarter sales at his company would fall from the fourth quarter or remain unchanged. First Solar’s fourth-quarter sales rose 24 percent sequentially.

The company’s dramatic change of fortune can only partly be blamed on the downturn, Ahearn said. The fourth quarter saw a surge of excess supply and lower prices as a result, he said.

While some manufacturers are showing signs they will curtail production, the situation is serious enough that Ahearn said First Solar will consider lowering prices to high-volume customers.

The company also decided to extend customer payment terms from 10 to 45 days as it increases production at its Malaysian plant.

The stimulus bill signed by the Obama Administration will expand the retail solar market in the U.S., but won’t have an immediate impact on large-scale utility projects, he said. These projects take years to plan and will more likely benefit from flexible vendor financing, he said.

Bank lending marginally improved in the first quarter, but “the global banking systems remains fragile,” Ahearn added.

First Solar announced that it is now capable of producing solar cells at a cost of 98 cents a watt, a goal it had been chasing for seven years. Ahearn sees manufacturing costs dropping as low as 65 cents a watt by 2012, raising the competitiveness of the cells.


Juniper Unveils Big New Data Center Switch In Attack On Cisco

February 24, 2009

Juniper Networks said Tuesday it was partnering with IBM to develop a powerful new switch coded named Stratus that is aimed directly at rival Cisco Systems.

But the new product might be late to the fight. It isn’t expected until 2010 and some analysts believe late in the year at that.

Ciscos Nexus will see new competition

Cisco's Nexus will see new competition

Models of Cisco’s Nexus data center switch are already in the market.

At a meeting with analysts, Juniper said Stratus is a multi-year project that isn’t likely to be available for revenue in 2009. It promises to simplify data centers – where communications links and networks rely on a confusing variety of protocols: fiber channel, Ethernet and infiniband.

Data centers also are beginning to use a powerful new technology called 10 gigabit Ethernet, which permits greater data speeds, but requires changes in layout and design.

“The project targets large-scale data centers, offering an improvement of 10x versus current technologies,” said UBS analyst Nikos Theodoscopoulos in a research note.

Theodosopoulos said he wasn’t worried about the 2010 or even 2011 delivery data. Delays by data center managers in adopting the unifying Fiber Channel over Ethernet protocol “makes the plan seem reasonable,” he said.


Google Says Worldwide Gmail Outage Blocked Accounts

February 24, 2009

Search giant Google said Tuesday that a technical problem prevented worldwide users of Gmail and Google Apps from accessing their accounts early Tuesday morning.

Outage lasted for 2.5 hours

Outage lasted for 2.5 hours

The company said the outage began at 1:30 am Pacific Time (9:30 am GMT) and lasted about 2.5 hours. The problem is now resolved and service restored, Google said an hour ago on a blog post.

It did not describe the nature of the problem.

“Lots of people around the world who rely on Gmail were disrupted during their waking and working hours, and we’re very sorry,” said Gmail Site Reliability Manager Acacio Cruz.

Cruz said Google woke up to the problem when monitoring systems alerted technicians that Gmail consumer and business accounts could not get access to their e-mail.

It had earlier this morning published updates to users saying it was working to correct the failing. It noted that some users may be asked to complete CAPTCHA security measures before logging into their accounts.


Online Search Terms Reflect Real Life Concerns

February 24, 2009

It stands to reason that online behavior reflects real-world, human concerns in the same way, well, art reflects life.

Here is the proof. With the global downturn reaching into every corner of American life (and life in most other developed countries), worries about jobs, mortgages and economic survival are top of mind.

Shouldn’t they then be reflected in the Internet searchers people conduct on Google, Yahoo and Live Search?

Perhaps to no one’s surprise, they are. Searches seeking information about the downturn are showing enormous increases on the nation’s search engines, according to comScore.

For instance, queries with the word “unemployment” rose 208 percent in December while those seeking information about “unemployment benefits” were up 247 percent.

Mortgage related searches rose 72 percent and those with the word “bankruptcy” climbed 156 percent (much to the chagrin of many Americans).

Boosts were also seen in queries including the word “coupons.” Up 161 percent.


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