Let The Facebook Fantasy Football Begin

July 31, 2009

FanSection is proof of Facebook’s potential as a sports arena.

Its roster of Facebook pages set up for major sports teams boasts more than 20 million registered users, with sites like the one it developed for Dallas Cowboys fans attracting more visitors than the team’s own official page.

FanSections Fantasy Football 2009 kicks off; fantasy baseball is under development

FanSection's Fantasy Football 2009 kicks off; fantasy baseball is under development

FanSection says it is now beginning to push its sport franchise into casual gaming – an activity that attracts an estimated 30 million Facebook members.

On Saturday, it will officially kick off the draft of its Fantasy Football 2009. A fantasy baseball game is under development.

So far, FanSection’s 600 Facebook applications and pages have had a social focus. “Discussing games is the big thing people are doing,” says General Manager of fantasy sports Bryan Bennett.

Now it is hoped casual gaming will encourage more active interaction. Fantasy Football 2009 was released in beta on July 1, and the basic game will be free to play. A premium service will include live game-day scoring and cost $4.95for the season.

As many as 20 people can play together in a private league.  So as they say on the gridiron:

Good luck, gentlemen. Let the Facebook games begin.


Wikipedia Prepares To Add Video To Crowdsourced Text

July 31, 2009

Wikipedia became the 10th most popular site on the Internet by mining the wisdom of the crowd to develop text-based encyclopedia entries.

Now is it ready to take on video.

Video expected before the end of the year, says Kulturas Ron Yekutiel

Video expected before the end of the year, says Kultura's Ron Yekutiel

The non-profit Wikimedia Foundation is expected to add technology in the next several months to let volunteers add video and multi-media to the general reference posts that in June alone drew 61 million Americans to the property.

There are a lot of components that need to come together, says Ron Yekutiel, CEO of Kaltura. But the plan seems on track for implementation by the end of the year.

Kaltura, the maker of open-source video management software, is supplying its software to the initiative. Yekutiel says there are many complexities, such as storing a history of the editing process for each clip posted.

In essence, the system will work the way the software does that Wikipedia uses to post text today. Editors will be able to follow changes to the material so as to understand how entries are created.

But while text is one thing, multi-media opens a new can of worms. Video clips can be editing in numerous subtle ways, and their source isn’t always obvious.

It will fascinating to see how thoroughly they can be policed – and exactly what value they bring. Will a picture indeed be worth a thousand crowdsourced words?


Cell Phone Shipments Up For First Time In Nine Months

July 31, 2009

The cell phone market rose in the second quarter for the first time since the third quarter of last year.

The modest rise – 4.7 percent from the first quarter, according to iSuppli – suggests that the mobile business hit a bottom in the past quarter and has begun a slow upswing.

Vendors shipped 265 million phones, up from 253 in the first quarter. Shipments were down 16 percent in the first quarter and 2.6 percent in the fourth quarter.

ISuppli says it expects a larger 6 percent rise in the third quarter and an 8.3 percent rise in the fourth quarter. For all of 2009, sales will be down almost 10 percent from 2008.

Lifting sales in the second quarter was strength in the emerging markets of the Middle East and Latin America. Promotional campaigns helped business in North America.


Zetta Sees No Commoditization Of Cloud Storage

July 31, 2009

One of the big unknowns facing cloud computing is whether this business supplying computing services to companies will become commoditized.

Companies are looking for more than a raw disk, says Zettas Jeff Treuhaft

Companies are looking for more than a raw disk, says Zetta's Jeff Treuhaft

This is especially true of cloud storage, where the differentiation among vendors is less dramatic than it is delivering computing power or application management over the Internet.

Data is either available or it isn’t, and access time can be measure quite easily.

So with new vendors entering the market, such as Microsoft (which is charging only 15 cents per gigabyte of storage), should an startup such as Zetta be concerned?

CEO Jeff Treuhaft says no. Cloud storage may get commoditized in the consumer market place, but not when it is offered to the enterprise, he says. “They are looking for something other than a raw disk,” Treuhaft explained this week during an interview at the Always On Summit.

Zetta says its infrastructure is a competitive advantage and that its 25 cents per gigabyte per month charge is attractive to customers. The company buys disks from third-party suppliers, but builds its own hardware and writes its own software for backup, or replication, management and encryption. The system makes extensive use of virtualization to spread data among machines and ensure it is available should one machine crash.

“We took the position you really have to build this as a multi-tenant service from day one,” he said. Multi-tenancy also translates into greater efficiency because it allows several customers to share the same piece of hardware.

Zettta is technically still in beta, but it says demand is healthy. “We have companies now that are not starting with one application but with three,” he said at the Stanford University gathering.

Still, with the market getting more crowded and competitors such as Amazon with its S3 service well established, commoditization over time is a danger.

Zetta doesn’t release its revenue figures and isn’t yet profitable. Monitoring these numbers over the next couple year will be an important market telltale – if the company is brave enough to report them.


Silicon Valley Remains World Innovation Center Amid Venture Capital Industry Meltdown

July 30, 2009
Silicon Valleys future remains bright say executives at Adobe and Cisco (middle) and venture capitalists from IVP (left) and Trinity Ventures (right). Self-serving?

Silicon Valley's future remains bright say executives at Adobe and Cisco (middle) and venture capitalists from IVP (left) and Trinity Ventures (right). Self-serving?

Regardless of the recession, the high cost of living, heavy traffic and the unemployment, Silicon Valley will remain the world’s center of innovation.

A self-serving prediction made during a panel made of executives from Adobe and Cisco and venture capitalists at Institutional Venture Partners and Trinity Ventures at the AlwaysOn Summit in Stanford today.

“For the last 30 years, every single year there has been talk about the death of Silicon Valley: nothing new is happening, real estate is too expensive, the freeways are too crowded. I just discount all of that and we’re going to continue to do great,” said Norm Fogelsong, general partner at Institutional Venture Partners.

The late stage investor pointed to the “entire ecosystem” of innovation and investment to support that and “once you get to a point where we are right now the system feeds on itself and everybody wants to be an entrepreneur and do great things.”

“The father of Silicon Valley is Fred Terman and the unique vision that he had as the dean of engineering [at Stanford] is that business and academia should work together and not separately; and that you’re going to get better research, better products quicker… That was revolutionary at the time. Harvard didn’t feel that way, nor MIT or Berkeley…,” added Fogelsong.

A bit less enthused was Dan Scheinman, senior vice president and general manager of Cisco’s Media Solutions Group.

“I’m optimistic too although a bit nervous on the short term because of the impact of… a liquidity crisis… but in the long run the magic of Silicon Valley is been disruption. This ecosystem is here,” said

Finally, much more pessimistic is venture capitalist Fred Wang, general partner at Trinity Ventures.

“The venture capital numbers for Q1 and Q2 of this year have been down pretty dramatically compared to last year. I think a lot of people are waiting for it to bounce back… but actually these numbers are the new norm. venture capital is going to go through a very painful adjustment cycle, rightsize itself… to $15-20 billion a year which is half or a third of what it’s been.”

As a result the companies that venture capital will fund will have to be more capital efficient, so “things like cleantech or some the very large system builds will be harder to accomplish,” and innovation will be more incremental than revolutionary.

Here’s a video excerpt of the panel’s conversation on the future of Silicon Valley:


Making Money From Crowdsourcing Is A Matter Of Scaling

July 30, 2009

Crowdsourcing, the loosely organized, widely dispersed, largely autonomous method of harnessing the power of people on the Internet.

It is good for developing free encyclopedias and open-source software. But what sort of profits can it generate?

UTest will not have 97 percent margins, but it wont have 20 percent ones either, says CEO Doron Reuveni

UTest will not have 97 percent margins, but it won't have 20 percent ones either, says CEO Doron Reuveni

The answer to that question may become clearer in the next year or so as companies continue to test the market. One worth watching is uTest, a startup bringing crowdsourcing to the software testing market.

UTest is growing rapidly. The Massachusetts company has now completed 500 debugging projects for companies that include Intuit, Microsoft and Google. That is up from 20 about six months ago.

CEO Doron Reuveni says the goal at present is to grow and not worry about turning a profit. Breakeven should come at the end of next year, though Reuveni won’t say what margins he anticipates.

“You’re not going to be a software company with margins of 97 percent,” he says. “We’re also not going to be IBM Global Services (with margins) at 20 percent.”

Where uTest falls in that broad range will be insightful. Other crowdsourcing companies, LiveOps for instance, have shown that chalking up substantial sales is possible.

But it is difficult to estimate how much revenue will fall to the bottom line.

That’s in part because UTest’s business model is anything but simple – despite the relatively simple concept of crowdsourcing. It pays its 18,000 testers in a variety of ways, including for the reports they file, the bugs they catch and the customer feedback they receive. Testers can make up to $4,000 a month.

At the same time, uTest charges customers monthly, quarterly or annual subscription fees, in addition to selling individual “testing cycles.”

If the average project cost a customer $9,000 (the cost of six testing cycles) and the average tester makes $2,000, making ends meet may be difficult. But if the business can scale, the results could easily swing in uTest’s favor.

With this in mind, it will be interesting to see what the company can achieve in a year. By then it will be easier to tell if crowdsourcing can scale.


Innovation Follows Bandwidth to 40 Gbps Speeds

July 30, 2009

So what is the difference between 10 gigabits per second and 40 Gbps bandwidth?

Enough digital through put for Caterpillar to design vehicles in a single step instead of one part at a time. It’s the necessary network capacity for General Electric to create smart utility grids that enable consumers to monitor and regulate home energy use remotely.

The market for 40 Gbps network capacity will starrt to materialze next year, says Darkstrands Michael Stein

The market for 40 Gbps network capacity will starrt to materialze next year, says Darkstrand's Michael Stein

In short, it’s the potential catalyst for a new round of corporate innovation – and it’s just starting to reach the market.

According to Darkstrand, a supplier of high-speed optical bandwidth linking corporations to some of America’s most prominent research labs, the market for 40 Gbps second network capacity could begin to materialize in 2010.

Next year sales should reach into the “multi billions” of dollars, says Michael Stein, Darkstrand CEO.

Just a few months ago, few if any companies could supply it. Now with demand just starting, suppliers, such as Darkstrand, are marketing the capacity.

Most corporations still make do with wide area network links of 1 or 10 Gbps. But Stein sees 40 Gbps candidates from among bioscience firms, movie producers (where a film can swell to 70 terabytes or more), and manufacturers of heavy equipment and airplanes.

These companies still see bandwidth as a business constraint and have begun to lease optical fiber to increase the connections to their campuses.

Hooking up to these links, Darkstrand plan it to connect these corporations to national labs, such as Lawrence Livermore, where they can use the massive banks of computers that sometimes sit idle.

Research at the labs is running five to 10 years ahead of research at corporations, says Stein. So by tapping in, corporations may indeed spark new innovation.  And 40 Gbps could be a key catalyst.


Ron Conway Says Real Time Data Is A Real Big Market

July 30, 2009

Angel investor Ron Conway says real-time data is the next real big thing.

Real time data is a $5 billion opportunity, says Angel investor Ron Conway

Real time data is a $5 billion opportunity, says Angel investor Ron Conway

Yet it might not produce Silicon Valley’s next Google. One or two monster companies will not dominate the market. Instead it will nurture a wide range of firms, Conway said Thursday at the Always On Summit and Stanford University.

Conway, one of Silicon Valley’s top angel investors, has been touting this latest investment theme for several months. But on Thursday he attached numbers to the market opportunity.

Today, real-time data is 1 percent to 2 percent of Web content. In three years, it will climb to 25 percent of the content on the Web, he said. That will make the market a $5 billion opportunity.

“I think this is the next multi-billion dollar market,” he said.

Conway didn’t say how real-time he expects investment returns to be. But with Twitter and other companies beginning to focus efforts on making money, perhaps the pay days won’t be as delayed as in the dot-com world of Web 1.0.


Intel Capital Defies Recession; Most Active Corporate VC In Silicon Valley

July 30, 2009
Intels investment managed to survive thanks to its financial returns

Intel's strategic investing arm managed to survive thanks to its financial returns

Started in 1991, Intel Capital is by far the longest surviving “corporate” venture capital organisation and the most active in Silicon Valley.

“We have the classic objective of balancing strategic needs for the company as well as financial returns. We existed this long because we have generated quite positive financial returns for the company… We invest off the balance sheet, we don’t have a fund type structure. But in any given year we invest hundreds of millions of dollars,” explains Intel Capital’s cleantech leader Steve Eichenlaub, speaking at the Intel Technology Summit yesterday in San Francisco.

Intel Capital is “round” agnostic – although prefers investing in B and C rounds – and its 100 or so investment professionals will usually poor around $300 million to $400 million a year, in all stages (seed to publicly traded) of a company’s evolution, worldwide.

Think of Intel Capital as a large venture capital organisation inside of a large publicly traded corporation. “In some ways we kind of do an entire venture capital fund every year!,” added Eichenlaub.

Intel Capital invests in 7 technology markets

Intel Capital invests in these 7 technology markets, cleantech being the newest one

One of the “value-add” that Intel Capital brings to its portfolio companies is its vast network of relationships with large customers, through Tech Days, a one-day event hosted 60 to 70 times a year at a partner location, like Microsoft, BT, Huawei, BMW,Comcast…

Here’s a video excerpt of Eichenlaub’s overview of Intel Capital:


Clean Tech Startups Will Make Big Money And See More Failures Too

July 30, 2009

Clean-tech investors profess a perennial optimism for the potential of their companies. But a dark reality clouds their sanguine outlook: few of their companies have scored big wins in the IPO and M&A markets.

More money will be made in clean tech than traditional areas of investing, says Vinod Khosla

"More money will be made in clean tech than traditional areas" of investing, says Vinod Khosla

This uncertain exit environment was a factor in this year’s swooning spending.  Investments in clean-tech startups fell 70 percent in the recently completed second quarter.

But Vinod Khosla says confidence in clean tech will be rewarded – handsome returns will come with patience. So too will a greater failure rate than VC typically see with their companies.

“More money will be made in clean technology than traditional areas” of venture investing in Silicon Valley, said Khosla on Thursday at the Always On Summit at Stanford University.

Such an outlook might be expected from this head of Khosla Ventures, a firm specializing in clean tech with as many as 60 portfolio investments.

But Khosla is quick to admit the business “will see a higher percentage of failures” even if “the wins will be larger” than normal, too.

With respect to industry sectors, Khosla said he believes lithium battery investments are “over hyped.” It is possible lithium batteries could be replaced by something better, he said.

If not, companies innovating in the market will do fine, he adds, noting that Khosla Ventures has invested in some of them.


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