Tech Price Watch: External 1.5TB Disk Drive For Under $100

November 13, 2009

Western Digital Element 1.5 TB Go External Drive for under $100After a couple weeks hiatus, hard disk drive prices are heading downwards again.

Fry’s is now offering Western Digital’s Element 1.5TB external USB drive for under $100. That’s about $66 per terabyte. A better deal than the already low $78 price tag for SimpleTech’s 1TB drive.

WD beats Seagate on low price

Our last check on the external 1.5TB drive category showed a Seagate disk for $125.

On the same page today, Fry’s is advertising Seagate’s 1.5TB internal drive for $100; still more expensive than Samsung’s 1.5TB drive that sold for $80 in early October!

For next week’s Black Friday, I expect most of the drive makers to align their price to Western Digital’s and perhaps to go as low as $100 for an external 2TB drive or a whopping $50 a terabyte. Currently, an external 2TB drive costs about $170.


Upbeat Signs From Venture Capital

November 12, 2009

Venture capital investing fell in the third quarter, but not all the signs from the industry are pointing down.

Prices paid for shares in start-ups rose for the first time in 2009 and “up” rounds exceeded “down” rounds for the first time as well. In an up round, a company’s value increases from as earlier funding round while in a down round, it decreases.

Up rounds exceeded down rounds in the third quarter for the first time this year.

According to a survey from Fenwick & West, the price paid for a share of a start-ups’ stock rose 11 percent. The company calculated the increase by comparing up rounds and down rounds. The 11 percent increase was less exciting than the 55 percent increase of last year’s third quarter. But it represented an improvement from the first and second quarters of 2009, when prices fell.

Equally encouraging is that up rounds accounted for 41 percent of deals and down rounds, 36 percent. The quarter showed a reversal from the second quarter, when 46 percent of deals were down and 32 percent up.

For the quarter, venture investing fell $38 percent to $5.1 billion as activity in the industry fell for the third time this year. But at least VCs were a little more upbeat about the deals they did as they put money in clean-tech, IT and health-care companies.


British Clean Tech Hiring Holds Its Own, Director Salaries Top $98,000

November 12, 2009

British clean tech workers felt the pain of the global recession this year, but the employment market remains more buoyant than the economy as a whole and salaries continue to rise.

About half of all workers received a salary boost in the past 12 months with director salaries in the United Kingdom now topping $98,000.

Survey shows industry employment driven by more than just the economy

Overall, the average environmental worker in Britain earns $65,300, according to a survey of the market place conducted this summer by Environmental Analyst and Allen & York.

More than 2,500 workers were contacted and nearly 50 percent said their organizations did not cut jobs during the downturn. About a quarter of firms saw staff reductions and another quarter added positions.

The results suggest that more than just the pace of GDP is driving the environmental market.

Salaries, for the most part, held their own. Half of workers received a salary boost during the previous 12 months; 34 percent did not. The average increase was 3 percent. One in seven received a pay cut.

The highest pay is found in the corporate sector – $77,600 on average. But the variations are considerable. Directors earn $98,000 while middle level managers earn $64,500 and recent graduates earn $37,700

With the world’s increasing focus on green, these more lucrative than average trends should continue.


Analysis: AMD/Intel $1.25B Settlement Is Cheap!

November 12, 2009

For analyst Jack Gold, the AMD/Intel legal settlement announced today is a win-win for both companies. It will give badly needed cash to AMD, while it  will help Intel remain a dominant player in all aspects of the computer chip marketplace in both current and future devices.

Viewed in this way, the $1.25B payment to AMD from Intel looks cheap!

More on Gold’s commentary:

Today, Intel and AMD announced that they are dropping all existing litigation between them – AMD’s persistent attacks on what it claims are Intel’s predatory sales practices and Intel’s counter claims of AMD’s unlawful appropriation of Intel IP transferred to GlobalFoundries when AMD divested its fabs to this joint venture. The legal wrangling has been an obsession for AMD and a diversion for Intel for several years now, and neither can afford to engage in such maneuvers anymore. The settlement is a win-win for both, although it may not have much affect on Intel’s continuing governmental anti-trust investigations around the world, and the win-win may be a little different than most analysis has indicated.

Intel’s payment to AMD of $1.25B may be seen by some as an admission of guilt that it indeed was behaving badly as AMD claimed. However, I see this another way, rather that Intel is offering AMD a badly needed cash infusion – a lifeline to make sure it stays afloat. Strategically, Intel can not afford to let AMD go out of business. It needs the competition – both to make sure it stays “paranoid” enough to design and manufacture industry leading chips (look what happened to Intel last time AMD was not competitive), and also to avoid the reality of complete monopolization of the PC market and all the additional scrutiny it would entail (yes, even more than Intel is already receiving). AMD gets much needed cash with which it can complete its transition to a fabless semiconductor company and to complete designs of its next generation processor and graphics chips to make it more competitive. So this is a Win-Win for both companies.


Entrepreneurs And VCs Shun Start-ups For Solar Farms

November 11, 2009

Entrepreneurs and increasingly the venture capitalists who fund them are looking more closely at solar farm development than the next start-up.

They say the lure is the big money that might be made installing solar cells or thermal solar systems and collecting 25 years of energy payments from local utilities.

Some venture capitalists are looking at setting up special solar project management funds

And they figure the inefficiencies in financing and construction offer opportunities for a hard charging business leader able to organize complex ventures.

The prospect of entrepreneurs and VCs building solar farms represents big a switch for the Silicon Valley venture community. Typically, VCs dole out small sums of money for a new software program, a new Web businesses or a start-up developing a new medial device. Solar projects require large amounts of money and striking complicated financial deals with one or more banks.

They also require boots-on-the-ground construction experience that many entrepreneurs and venture capitalists don’t have.

Nevertheless, interest appears to be growing. Some VCs are even exploring the idea of raising special project-development funds.

“We are seeing a lot of entrepreneurs trying to get into the business,” confirms Alexander von Welczeck, an advisor to solar financier Ethos Green Energy Asset Finance. Many hope to start small – perhaps with a commercial rooftop project – and move onto larger facilities. Others are thinking bigger from the start.

“I have seen some venture capitalists at least thinking seriously about project finance” and project management funds, says Fred Greguras, a clean-tech attorney at K&L Gates in Palo Alto, at a Tuesday evening event sponsored by the German American Business Association.

Interest aside, the pitfalls are many. Utilities can be difficult to work with and banks remain cautious about taking on partners who don’t have a contracting background.

VCs can provide funding, but do they have the necessary construction experience, asks Wells Fargo's Puon Penn

VCs may have deep pockets, but project experience and balance sheet issues are important, says Puon Penn, senior vice president and head of the clean-tech group at Wells Fargo. “They can provide part of the financing, but do they have the track record?”

Wells Fargo, with $1.3 billion of wind farms financed and $400 million of solar projects, is one of the nation’s top clean-tech banks.

The details of project finance indeed are not easy to resolve, agrees von Welczeck. “It’s almost like tying to solve a Rubik Cube.”

Banks, he says, are so cautious that the typical projects getting money are government-backed schools, universities and municipalities, where taxpayers ultimately are on the line to repay development costs.

But stars might be aligning for an increase in activity. The federal government already offers a 30 percent cash grant and beginning in the third quarter of 2010, loan guarantees will be available.

Perhaps by then, the nation’s financial institutions will regain an appetite for more normal lending risk and entrepreneurs will have the experience of a few smaller rooftop deals under their belts.


California Is The Top State In Energy Efficiency Wyoming The Worst

November 11, 2009

California is the top state in requiring energy efficiency in buildings and power consumption, followed by Massachusetts, Connecticut, Oregon and New York

On the bottom of the list are Wyoming (the worst of the worst), North Dakota and Mississippi (only slightly better than Wyoming) Alabama, Nebraska, West Virginia and Alaska and Georgia. Next in line are Arkansas, Missouri and Louisiana.

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States making the biggest improvements were Maine, Colorado and Delaware

This according to the American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, which released a state-by-state scorecard. The rankings are based an analysis of building codes, government initiatives, appliance efficiency standards, utility programs and transportation policies.

According to the analysis, the states making the biggest gains in the past year were Maine, Colorado, Delaware, South Dakota, Tennessee and the District of Columbia.

In Delaware, new legislation requires the state to reduce energy consumption through efficiency 15 percent by 2015. Included in the effort are new building codes that make it easier to adopt solar and wind power by allowing people and businesses to sell excess power back to the grid.

Investments in energy efficiency create jobs and steer dollars away from wasted energy to more constructive uses, says Governor Jack Markell.

What I want to know is why so many southern states are at the bottom of the list when air conditioning is such a sizeable chunk of their energy bills? Is global warming not happening down there?


JA Solar Sees A Shortage Of Solar Cell Production Capacity

November 10, 2009

With a rebound in demand, solar cell makers are once again facing a shortage of production capacity, one of China’s largest solar manufacturers said Tuesday.

JA Solar Holdings said lower prices for solar cells drove customers to showrooms and into purchase arrangements with installers.

Third quarter orders were two to three times the company's production capacity

Orders in the quarter were two to three times in excess of the company’s production capacity, CEO Baofang Jin said on a conference call. Demand continues to outpace capacity, he added.

JS Solar did not specify whether the manufacturing shortfall was strictly limited to the Chinese market, where JA Solar does 77 percent of its business, or broader. But the CEO said, “We saw a significant pick up in demand. There is a shortage of solar cell capacity today.”

JA Solar trails Suntech as China’s largest producer of solar cells. But with $193 million in third quarter revenue, it serves as a useful proxy on the Chinese market.

After months of falling prices,  get ready for today’s more stable pricing to last (JA Solar’s prices fell 7 percent in the third quarterr) – at least until the next factory can be built.


Saving The World From Global Warming Will Cost $10.5 Trillion

November 10, 2009

A sobering energy report from the International Energy Agency predicts that saving the world from global warming will cost $10.5 trillion.

The surprisingly daunting and closely watched IEA’s World Energy Outlook is especially timely this year, coming out Tuesday, just before the start of the Copenhagen climate talks next month.

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Goal is to keep temperatures to 2 degree Celsius above pre industrial levels

It forecasts that energy consumption will fall in 2009 due to the worldwide recession. But demand for power will shortly reverse course and begin to climb again, jumping 40 percent by 2030.

More so, “current trends in energy use puts the world on track for a rise in temperature of up to 6 degrees Centigrade and poses a serious threat to global energy security,” the report states. Climate scientists have already warned that a smaller rise than this might bring about irreversible planetary changes.

The study claims that China and India are expected to account for more than half of the projected increase in energy demand over the next 20 years. By 2025, China will overtake the United States as biggest spender on oil and gas imports.

The world’s response must be aggressive and committed to heading off an environmental disaster. The study proposes limiting greenhouse gases to 450 parts per million or less, which would keep temperatures about 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. To accomplish this, fossil fuel demand will need to peak in 2020 and by 2030 greenhouse gas emission will need to fall below 2007 levels.

Energy efficiency will be the largest contributor to this goal. Half of emissions cuts can come from making homes, businesses, cars and other devices more efficient.

Low carbon energy sources also play a part and must account for 60 percent of energy production, Renewables are to contribute 37 percent; nuclear, 18 percent; and carbon capture, 5 percent. Hybrids and electric vehicles must make up 60 percent of sales by 2030, a dramatic rise from 1 percent today.

All this will cost $10.5 trillion, the IEA says, with some of the expense coming in the form of a payback – an $8.6 trillion reduction in energy bills.

Yikes!

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Source: International Energy Agency


Pitching An Ultra Low Power Desktop PC

November 10, 2009

Energy costs make up a significant share of a company’s data center and IT budget.

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The Fit PC2 uses less than 10 watts of power compared with the 110 watts consumed by a traditional desktop

So what about putting the 100-watt desktop computer on an electric diet? The Fit PC2 was introduced early this year running with Microsoft’s aging Windows XP and the flaccid Vista. It now runs on the perky Windows 7.

And it does so with 10 watts or less of power – 6 watts under a light load. The result is a two-third cut in power consumption compared with other power efficient desktops and greater savings versus more traditional non-portables, says maker CompuLab of Israel.

The secret is that the Fit PC2 uses Intel’s low-power Atom chip (1.6 GHz) and the miserly US15W controller hub.

It also is strikingly small – taking its appearance from Apple’s Mini, which by the way claims to use only 14 watts when sitting idle. (No stats for under load.)

The big question is whether it is the start of a new product category designed for the new green corporation. Let’s hope so. There is a lot of energy to be saved with under utilized desktop computers.


Predictions Of A Booming Green Home Retrofit Market

November 9, 2009

There are more than 500 green home and building retrofitters in the United States, but few that can outmuscle Sustainable Spaces, soon to be Recurve, in California’s San Francisco Bay Area.

So when CEO Pratap Mukherjee reports that his company has seen record levels of sales in August, September and October, it is a good sign for the market as a whole. The San Francisco company is seeing quarterly revenue growth of 70 percent, he boasted during an interview last week.

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Sustainable Spaces, soon to be Recurve, has seen record sales.

Mukherjee says greater consumer awareness of home energy conservation is behind the industry’s emerging from the shadows. Buildings use about 40 percent of the nation’s power and ways to cut this consumption often aren’t complicated or high tech – better insulation, plugging air leaks, wrapping pipes.

Also giving the market its pop is an emerging confluence of public money and financing options, including a yet to be announced initiative to give more federal money to cities looking to retrofit buildings. In Berkeley, for instance, homeowners can tie the costs of green energy remodeling to future tax payments, drawing out the bill. The White House only last month added its stamp of approval to the market, releasing spending guidelines for $80 billion of stimulus funding.

Perhaps the new activity is verifying what studies have said all along. Green buildings have greater value. According to one report by the University of San Diego and CoStar Group, Energy Star rated buildings often sell for 15 percent more and that rental rates can be $2 a square foot higher.

More so, occupancy rates of retrofitted buildings are higher.

Perhaps an industry is finally coming of age – and the explanation comes down to dollars and cents.


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