Can MacWorld Survive Without Apple?

February 10, 2010

Where's everybody at MacWorld 2010?

After 25 years, could this be the last MacWorld show?

Well, from what I’ve seen so far, it’s hard to believe MacWorld could survive another year.

On Tuesday, there was hardly anyone. Mind you, this was day 0 (zero) of the show, with just a few sessions going on.

MacWorld 2010 is bigger than one company… not!

But today, when the event supposedly kicks off, just a few people showed up at the registration desks despite the free passes available for the expo floor. Hopefully more people with show up tomorrow when the expo floor actually opens!

Anyway, the absence of Apple is striking. Less buzz, lower attendance, few exhibitors. So why come? Maybe to say goodbye, one last time :-(


Renewable Energy Still Held Back By Lack Of Financing

February 10, 2010

Big money is more available now than it was in mid 2009. But capital remains the bottleneck for large scale solar and wind farms around the world and the spigot may not open until late this year.

Vestas Wind Systems latest 3 MW wind turbine went into operation early this year

Banks continue to be cautious about lending to any but the most experienced alternative energy companies. Deals take longer to negotiate, and documentation is much greater than before the credit crisis.

The impact is that many projects may not kick off until late this year, slowing the growth of the industry in this key recovery year. This likelihood showed itself in projections Wednesday from Vestas Wind Systems, the world’s largest maker of wind turbines.

Vestas offered a restrained growth outlook for 2010. It said orders would come to between 8,000 and 9,000 MW of turbines, up 177 percent from the deep pull back it saw in 2009, but a less robust 41 percent higher than the more normal sales period in 2008.

The reason the Danish company said in a financial report is the delay in financing. “It is only now at the beginning of 2010 that the market for bank funding truly appears to be approaching a normal trend, although the banks are now far more critical and require much more documentation than they did previously,” the company wrote.

From a management perspective, the company complained it would have excess capacity at least in the early part of the year. This is only adding to the fierce level of competition rising in the market.

“The far majority of revenue and, especially, profit will be generated in the second half of 2010,” Vestas said.

On a separate note, the company said it first massive 3 MW V112 turbine was installed at the start of the year. The product will help drive 2010 sales.


Video: Google Buzz Adds Twitter Inside Gmail; Competes With Yammer, Chatter

February 9, 2010

Google Buzz is more useful for the enterprise, mobile setting

At a press conference this morning, Google unveiled yet another “real-time” Web initiative: Buzz.

To me, Buzz is nothing else but Twitter integrated to the Gmail user interface, and which gets status updates from your address book contacts.

But who really needs another Twitter-like? Especially after spending lots of time and efforts building, and perhaps monetising, a large number of “followers.”

So my guess is that Buzz will be interesting to try out (I just got mine activated on my Gmail account) but will certainly bore you quickly.

Google Buzz is Twitter for the enterprise, not the consumer

However, I can see how Buzz can be useful for the enterprise, a professional Twitter like Yammer or Saleforce.com’s Chatter.

No wonder Google quickly said it intends to add Buzz to its Google Apps enterprise offering. Something that Google never really talk about when it launches a consumer product.

Even co-founder Sergey Brin highlighted how Buzz improved his own productivity, accelerating the way he communicates with others inside Google.

So, more than a consumer product (who needs yet another Twitter/social network to worry about it), Google Buzz – like Yammer before it – could actually find success inside the enterprise, not outside.

Here’s what Google’s VP of product management Brad Horowitz has to say about Buzz in the enterprise:

And  Buzz’s demo by product manager Todd Jackson:


IBM Wins Two New Water Deals, Boasts Of Up To 60 Smart Grid Projects

February 9, 2010

You’ve seen the latest IBM commercials on television. You know the ones. The narrator describes a difficult environmental problem and then says it is his or her job to solve it. Then she (or he) says she works for IBM.

Well, it seems as if IBM has a pair of new clean-tech jobs on the list. The company will announce on Wednesday that is has secured contracts with the Sacramento Area Sewer District and Sacramento Regional County Sanitation District to improve water quality and prevent sewer spills.

Time of day electricity pricing will offer consumers a financial incentive to shift consumption, says IBM exec Steve Mills

The two agencies will install its Maximo software to manage pumps, pipes and other equipment, and to anticipate failures before they occur.

Top IBM executive Steve Mills, a senior vice president, says the key to a smarter, greener planet is to improve the collection and analysis of data, such as that from a sewer system or electric grid. Doing so helps companies perform preventative maintenance and hike efficiency.

IBM is presently applying the principal to as many as 60 smart grid projects with utilities around the world, Mills says. Some focus on the consumer and the smart meters being installed in homes. Others reach out for data to the sensors utilities are installing throughout their grids and networks.

For many companies, the idea is to take what was once a capital expense and turn it into a technology purchase. Software that automates maintenance and manages equipment lets administrators better know where to spend their money. It is this application of technology that will help battle global warming and improve water quality.

In the past several years, this adoption of technology appears to have picked up, with a respite for the recession, replacing what were more manual tasks. But “it’s really going to take a decade,” Mills says. The incentive for companies will be millions in savings.

Mills says that despite the use technology, time of day pricing might be necessary to bring greater efficiency to energy use. Smart meters are a first step and so too are the sensor networks utilities are using to better understand consumption.

But when energy costs are higher – such as during the peak use day light hours – people will naturally shift use to other times when costs are lower. The idea is to provide a financial incentive, he says.


Biofuels 2.0 And The Move Away From Ethanol

February 9, 2010

Venture capitalists have shown an increasing maturity with their clean-tech investing.

The days of big funding rounds for ethanol plants may be over.

They dish out smaller sums of money, expect higher rates of return and appear likely to balk on the massive solar deals that in the past couple years commanded tens of millions of dollars.

In the fourth quarter, the average clean-tech deal size was about $9 million, compared with almost $14 million for all of 2009.

This maturity is beginning show itself in the biofuels market with powerful effect. New start-ups appear to be favoring smaller funding rounds and technologies like algae and synthetic biofuels in place of ethanol.

“The era of enormous funding rounds for large-scale cellulosic and first-generation ethanol start-ups is over,” proclaims Lux Research. The new companies seeking venture money look at producing higher value products such as butanol, propane, biodiesel and bio jet fuel.

One such company, OPX Biotechnologies has raised $22.5 million from Mohr Davidow, Braemar Ventures and others, and hopes to produce bioacrylics for paints, adhesives and detergents. The company said Tuesday it has reduced production costs by 85 percent to is targetting 50 cents a pound.

According to Lux, biofuels production increased 82 percent from 2000 to 2008. This growth could continue as second-generation cellulosic ethanol fuels – now showing great promise – come to market in the next several years.

But the age of the ethanol science project appears to be coming to an end. In its place, a more lucrative, diverse market may come into being.


Venture Capital Clean Tech Love Affair Is Maturing

February 8, 2010

U.S. venture firms are taking a more circumspect view of clean-tech investing. Less flash, more focus on profits.

That could lead to more start-ups trying to build businesses with less money.

According to a recent survey, substantial sums of money continue to flow into the industry. Ernst & Young reported Monday that $2.6 billion went into clean-tech start-ups last year, a noticeably more optimistic assessment than last month’s MoneyTree survey, which posted a figure of $1.9 billion. The higher sum suggests VCs were significantly more active last year than may have been thought.

The E&Y work also uncovered a second detail that didn’t show up in the MoneyTree study – which was conducted by PricewaterhouseCoopers, the National Venture Capital Association and Thomson Reuters.  While investment dollars fell 45 percent in the fourth quarter, the number of deals were up – 21 percent to 62. More deals, smaller sums of money per company, more room for profits.

The MoneyTree work found that the number of deals in the quarter fell to 47 and that overall dollars declined 58 percent.

It is hard to know which of the surveys is more accurate. But the prospect of venture capitalists funding more companies at lower dollar values is interesting to contemplate. It suggests funds are seeing clean-tech investing more like they see information-technology investing: put a little money in, expect a lot back.  This prospect may encourage more VCs to take part.

Of course the shift to small deals is due in substantial part to the maturing of solar start-ups. In recent years, these companies needed large sums of money for manufacturing plants, and VCs were eager to provide them. That cycle is winding down. New solar ventures still get money, but in small allotments to explore new technologies.

At the same time, venture interest in clean tech has shifted to energy efficiency. It is here that small investment sums can start companies eager to develop, for example, software for energy management.

In the fourth quarter, energy efficiency received more money than any other category of clean-tech investing: $253 million. That total was inflated by the $105 million investment in smart meter maker Silver Spring Network. By even without Silver Spring, 21 deals were done, about a third of the total.

As venture capitalists look toward 2010, expect to see more funds using the game plan of the past. Dole out money slowly. Spread it around. Find ways to make each dollar go further.


Israel Is Do Or Die Test For Better Place

February 8, 2010

The high profile electric car experiment Batter Place made a big deal this weekend of the ceremonial opening of its demonstration center in Israel.

Better Place opened a demonstration center in Israel in an old oil tank

“We come another step closer to realizing the vision of sustainable electric transportation,” said Moshe Kaplinsky, CEO of the company’s Israel division.

He was wrong. The important step for the company will come late next year when it kicks off commercial operations in the small Mediterranean nation, its first market.

The demonstration center tells the story of how Better Place works. The company is essentially a power broker, selling electricity to people who plug their cars into charging stations and swapping depleted car batteries for fresh ones at changing stations.

This weekend’s most critical news was that the company has signed up 92 corporate fleets in Israel – including Motorola and Computer Associates and struck what it said was its first deal with a gas station operator for charging stations.

The fleet owners promise to buy some vehicles from Better Place partner Renault – which will begin shipping 1,000 cars a month into Israel in the second half of 2011.

The gas station operator, Dor Alon, became the first to agreed to construct battery-switching stations at its facilities in the country. Better Place expects more deals with gas station operators.

The Israel test is perhaps the best chance for the California start-up, which last month raised $350 million in funds. Israel is tiny, making electric cars with their limited driving range more practical. Running out of juice is more difficult when distances are short. What’s more, big corporate fleets make up about half the cars on the roads. These big vehicle operators will make managing the cars easier.

All this makes Israel a must-do for the company. If the system doesn’t work smoothly there, it will have greater difficulties in Denmark, California and Japan, markets that are next in Better Place’s sights.

Israel is indeed a demonstration center and Better Place must perform.


MIT Study Finds Support For Global Treaty On Climate Change

February 8, 2010

Several recent surveys question America’s commitment to reversing global warming.

A greater number of people have been found skeptical of the scientific evidence that greenhouse gases are warming the earth, despite the overwhelming support for the theory from the scientific community.

A just published MIT study tells something of a different story. The survey finds 50 percent of Americans back the nation’s participation in a global treaty combating climate change.

And 60 percent of those contacted for the 2009 poll say the federal government should be doing more to turn back the accumulation of the gases, such as CO2 and methane. This was down from a similar study in 2006. But it is still a significant majority.

Like the earlier studies, the MIT survey discovered that Americans are less convinced urgent action is necessary. Only 23 percent of people backed immediate action, compared with 28 percent in 2006. But the call for quick action was up from 17 percent in 2003.

While the survey confirmed the new wave of doubt in the nation (the misinterpretation of the leaked University of East Anglia e-mail and the prevalence of Fox News the likely explanations) it also suggests that Americans continue to view global warming as a matter that must be addressed. Just not as urgently as the economy.

Source: MIT


Personalized Medicine Conference Recap

February 6, 2010

Genetics and pharmacogenomics took center stage at the Personalized Medicine World Conference in Mountain View, CA.

A larger part of the discussion was centered around how we will collect, handle, standardize, store and process all the information on each of us for healthcare.

Attendees were an interesting mix of angel investors, academics, representatives from governmental agencies, institutional investors, pharma, information technologists, bioethicists, hospitals, patients and consultants. Currently, the field of personalized medicine is a mix of all these players, looking for the next healthcare technology play.

Large IT companies that wouldn’t normally be thought of as healthcare attended, IBM and Dell both gave talks. A major focus for the IT companies were EHR‘s or Electronic Health Records. As the types of data multiplies, a way to handle digitized X-rays, test results, prescriptions and clinician notes will need to be found and integrated. For a savvy technologist who can understand what kinds of information clinicians/doctors need at a glance, there is a definite business opportunity.

One point of note, Dr. Amos from NIST stated governmental agencies have a vested interest in making sure biological test results have standards- so your results from one lab will be able to be interpreted by any doctor down the line. Coming up with these standards will likely be a long process involving both government, healthcare workers and industry.

Contributed by Chia Hwu, follow me on Twitter @chiah.


Mello Biotech’s Tech Can Create Stem Cells

February 6, 2010

Mello Biotech, providers of a potential method for creating stem cells, had a booth on the expo floor at the Cambridge Healthtech Institute‘s 17th International Molecular Medicine Tri-Conference.

The basic idea is to introduce microRNA into a mature cell and reprogramming it to a stem cell state, capable of becoming any other kind of cell. The claim is that this process can create stem cells with as few as 400 mature cells (approximately the number in a hair follicle). The technology Mello Biotech uses is electroporation to deliver the microRNA into a cell, removing the need for a viral vector to deliver RNA.

There has been work done with creating stem cells with retroviruses mediating the RNA transfer; the concern is that viral gene insertion could  be random and disrupt normal functioning of the cells.

So far, the company claims that they have created all three types of cells from the different layers of skin from a stem cell created through their process. The challenge will be to create other types of cells (kidney, liver, heart, nerve etc.) from stem cells created through this process.

If this technology is as efficient as the company claims and these cells can be used in treatment, stem cell therapy will be a reality.

Contributed by Chia Hwu, follow me on Twitter @chiah.


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