Consumers Not Ready To Buy Green, Unless It Saves Money

February 5, 2010

Buying green is wonderful on paper. But unless it saves money, the American public isn’t ready to fork over its paper currency.

This is due in part to a lingering skepticism over global warming, despite overwhelming scientific evidence supporting the planet’s growing peril. It also is the result of an unwillingness to associate global problems with local decisions, such as the purchase of plastic picnic ware.

For most consumers, “it’s not about saving the world,” says Scott Potter, a venture capital at San Francisco Equity Partners. “That’s for only 2 percent of the population.”

Most consumers aren't interested in saving the world with their purchases, says venture capitalist Scott Potter. Only about 2% are.

As scientists and well-meaning politicians urge the nation to become more environmentally conscious, the barrier to greater action becomes clearer each day. Living a greener life has got to go hand-in-hand with the simpler, more base motivation of financial benefit.

In other words, solar power, wind energy, electric cars and green consumer goods have to be less expensive to be popular. This conclusion was at the heart of SDForum’s “Consumer Clean Tech Trends” panel discussion Thursday evening in Silicon Valley. The evidence was overwhelming.

Look at utility customers across the country, insisted Jan Pepper, assistant general manager of energy resource planning at Alameda Municipal Power. Only about 2 percent of them are paying a premium for power derived from renewable sources.

“I don’t think people are willing to pay more for green,” she said.

The same is true with carbon offsets, which were hit hard during the recession. Provider TerraPass participates in expensive projects to recover methane from cow manure at dairy farms and landfills. Methane, a greenhouse gas, is much more damaging than CO2 but difficult to collect.

"I don't think people are willing to pay more for green," says Jan Pepper, an assistant general manager at Alameda Municipal Power.

“There is a very small number of people willing to do the right thing” and support the projects, says Pete Davies, TerraPass president. “It’s not a very big market.”

The reluctance to pay for green is apparent at retail as well. During the downturn, premium brands languished on store shelves, and green is considered a premium item. Whether soap or bleach, basic functionality drove purchase decisions, not global benefits.

At the same time, a basic level of “greenness” is being built into mainstream products from big producers, such as Procter & Gamble. “I don’t think you’re going to be on the shelf if you’re not green” in the future, says Potter. But of course that means buying decisions will be made on grounds other than green if it becomes the standard.

Perhaps the solution is to challenge people on the local level, where comparisons are easy to make, says investor Tod Francis of Shasta Ventures. There is no more powerful an incentive for urging people to make energy conservation improvements at home than knowing their neighbors are paying less, says Francis.

But then than means everything still to come down to dollars and cents.


Dire Outlook For Green Jobs Without Targets For Renewables

February 5, 2010

A new study of green jobs paints a dire outlook for U.S. employment if the nation fails to adopt aggressive targets for renewable energy use.

The study by the RES-Alliance for Jobs has a natural bias. The organization is funded by wind, solar, and other renewable energy companies and associations, which would stand to benefit from such goals.

But its stark assessment raises a terrifying question: what if it’s right? The study argues that 37 countries around the world have adopted goals for alternatives energy and will be the likely spots for new plants, companies and projects. This includes China and the members of the European Union.

In contrast, many states in the U.S. will shed green jobs without appropriate nationwide goals, it claims. The study, released Thursday, projects the nation will create 67,000 new jobs if it adopts a 12 percent renewables target for 2014 and 274,000 jobs if the target is raised to 25 percent by 2025.

The breakdown of new jobs by industry follows: 116,000, wind; 60,000, biofuels; 50,000, solar; 34,000, hydropower; and 15,000, waste to energy.

The states with the most jobs to gain are Pennsylvania, Florida, Colorado and California. Midwest and Mid Atlantic states will benefit to a lesser degree, as will Texas, Oregon and Washington.

Biofuels in particular would generate jobs in Florida and Louisiana. Wind energy will be a significant employer across the Great Plains and Midwest.

Without use targets, which the study claims are more effective than the tax credits the country is relying on today, many states will shed green jobs, including Texas, Ohio, Indiana and a number of states across the Great Plains. Let’s hope this doesn’t happen.

The nation will create green jobs if renewables targets are put into place. The darker the color, the more jobs. (Source: RES Alliance for Jobs)


California Expects to Have 17 Million Smart Meters In Place By 2012

February 4, 2010

California continues to expect 17 million smart meters to be installed across the state by 2012, despite complaints by some residents about higher electric bills and electromagnetic radiation.

By 2011, the meters will provide energy use data in real time, and, this year, data can be transmited to monitoring services, says CPUC's Aloke Gupta.

Twelve million of them will be electric meters and 5 million will be gas, said Aloke Gupta, senior energy analyst at the California Public Utilities Commission.

The smart meter rollout is part of a $4.6 billion state project designed to bring new capabilities and flexibility to the electric grid. Adding these features will be especially important if electric cars catch on in the state and the electricity demand grows from daily car recharging.

But in the past several months, some residents have complained of bills that increased after the meters were installed. A suit is already pending against utility PG&E. Others worried aloud at public hearings that the meters gave off electromagnetic radiation.

The meters are hoped to let residents better manage the energy use. By 2011, they will provide energy use data in real time, instead of after the present 24-hour delay, Gupta said at the Grid ComForum in Silicon Valley. By the end of this year, they will be able to transmit data to third party companies providing energy monitoring and conservation services.

All three of the state’s large utilities are involved to varying degrees. PG&E is to install 10 million meters and claims it now oversees the largest smart meter deployment in the world. Its network, however, is likely to become eclipsed in the next several years by China, which wants to install up to 40 million meters annually.

The meters, being made by GE and Landis+Gyr, with networks provided by Silver Spring Networks, have transmitters that can communicate not just with utilitie but to appliances inside a home. The “radio” into the home is not yet activated yet, says Kenneth Abreu, principal resource analyst at PG&E. It will be in a year or two, he says.


Plug In Hybrid To Have a 1,000 Mile Range, Velozzi Says

February 4, 2010

Velozzi's plug-in hybrid sports car and sedan, pictued above, will use diesel-powered microturbines to recharge their batteries

Secretive boutique electric car designer Velozzi said Thursday it plans a high-end plug-in electric hybrid with a driving range of up to 1,000 miles.

The Los Angeles company that intends to begin shipping cars late this year says the extended driving range will come from a diesel-powered microturbine designed to switch on when the lithium ion batteries need charging.

The news was released in a press statement announcing the company’s decision to use microturbines from Capstone Turbine. The deal is Capstone’s first with a carmaker.

The projected driving range is unusually long for an electric car and could prove a selling point for Velozzi. Many plug-in hybrids anticipate ranges of several hundred miles, and many all-electrics expect less than 100.

Velozzi plans two vehicles, a high-performance sports car and a lower-priced mass-market model. Both will be constructed with carbon-fiber nano tubes to reduce weight.

The sports car will come with a 770 horsepower electric motor, reach 60 mph in 3 seconds and be outfitted with a 65-kolowatt microturbine. Batteries will take the car 200 miles before the turbine kicks in. The car is to reach the market this year.

The Solo, which the company describes as a crossover vehicle, will have a 30-kilowatt turbine. That suggests a reduced driving range. It is to ship in 2011.

No prices for the cars have been released. However, estimates suggest a $100,000 sticker for the sports car, comparable to Tesla’s Roadster. The Solo is expected to be closer to $35,000.


Recharging An Electric Car Is Like Powering A House On A Summer Day

February 3, 2010

First generation electric cars and plug-in hybrids will begin to reach the market this year and next. Demand for these low-pollution vehicles could be strong, especially in environmentally conscious states, such as California.

Managing the charging of electric vehicles with a smart grid is the perfect intersection pf technology and energy, says PG&E's Saul Zambrano

But there are real concerns about the ability of the electric grid to handle all these rechargeable cars and trucks. Their demand for electricity is considerable in a nation with little excess generating capacity and a grid only starting to become intelligent.

An electric car adds to a utility’s network the equivalent of a house on a summer day with its air conditioning running,” says Saul Zambrano, director of core products at PG&E. It is a sizeable load.

Zambrano is convinced PG&E will be able to handle the demand. “This is a priority item for us,” he said Tuesday at the Grid ComForum in Silicon Valley. But it won’t be easy – and California is likely to be a test bed for the nation.

Estimates suggest about a quarter of the new electrics will be bought by California drivers, with many in PG&E’s coverage area. It is an obvious business opportunity for the utility. With juice flowing at 120 volts/6 amps, an electric car will recharge in 12 hours. Increase that to 240 volts/30 amps, the recharging window closes to 4 hours.

“We actually want a 4-hour window,” he says. That will allow the utility to better manage power needs in the evening and through the night when cars are most likely to be plugged in.

But handling the load will be challenging. The utility is set to begin a critical pilot project this year to help it settle on management software, home charging stations and in-vehicle control systems. There are a lot of unknowns and details to be worked out.

“This is the perfect intersection of technology and energy,” says Zambrano. “The next decade is going to be exciting.”


Europe Added More Wind Energy In 2009 Than Other Energy Technologies

February 3, 2010

Europe cozied up to wind energy again last year, installing more of it than any other energy technology.

Sixty-one percent of Europe's new energy capacity last year came from renewables, like wind.

Leading the rush to wind were the nations of Spain, Germany, Italy, France and the United Kingdom, all of which add the most capacity as the continent sought to favor renewables over energy from fossil fuels. Altogether, renewables accounted for 61 percent of the continent’s new generation in 2009.

Wind accounted for 39 percent of new capacity followed by gas, 26 percent, and solar, 16 percent, according to the European Wind Energy Association, a trade group.

Wind energy also grew in the U.S. last year, but at a considerably slower pace as a significant minority of citizens, largely Republicans, continue doubt the scientific evidence behind the earth’s warming.

In Europe, the fastest growth was in offshore farms, though on-land installations still made up the lion’s share of additions. Wind energy also was the most widely adopted technology in 2008.

Germany has the most wind installations followed by Spain.


Bridgelux Broadens LED Product Line As Prices Fall 30% To 60%

February 3, 2010

No more one size fits all.

LED lighting is bound to be a big market. But price needs to fall as lighting quality rises. And LED arrays need to come in a variety of shapes and sizes to satisfy the myriad needs of the lighting market.

Bridgelux broadens its line of LED arrays for lighting. No more one size fits all.

Some of these conditions will take a couple of years. One is being satisfied today.

Bridgelux is rolling out a second generation of LED arrays Wednesday that for the first time addresses the one-size-fits-all problem. They also make additional steps forward in price and efficiency.

LED lighting is a market waiting to happen. When $10 bulbs hit the market (Bridgelux President Mark Swoboda expects that to happen by the end of 2012) sales will take off. LEDs use one-fifth the power of incandescent bulbs and 12 percent less than compact fluorescents, with none of the mercury. At $10 they paybacks are obvious.

Today, bulbs costing $40 or so are finding early adopters among businesses that save on energy bills and labor costs. Because the bulbs last many years longer than incandescents, workers don’t need to be sent out with replacements as frequently.

Silicon Valley start-up Bridgelux says its new products give it a broader family of arrays than its rivals. The new items vary from 240 lumens in intensity to 4,500 (the 4,500 being appropriate for high intensity retail spot lighting, street and commercial applications).

The mainstream ES Arrays will be able to serve as replacements for 100-watt bulbs.

Prices for the new products will be 30 to 60 percent less than present Bridgelux arrays and efficiency will climb by 30 to 60 percent, Swodoba says.


Video: Why Avatar, 3-D Can Cause Seizures, Epilepsy

February 2, 2010

Beware: 3D will make you go crazy!

Stereo 3D could be the killer app for the entertainment industry, literally!

While Avatar grossed more than $2 billion worldwide, more than any movie ever made, a little known fact – meticulously avoided by the entertainment world at CES 2010 – is that 3D technology could cause seizures for millions of viewers affected by epilepsy, and especially children.

50 million people worldwide have epilepsy, with almost 90% of these people being in developing countries according to this Wikipedia entry; and over 2.5 millions people are affected in the U.S. alone.

The “magic” of 3D can kill

The problem lies in how stereoscopic 3D solutions – showed at CES 2010 – simulate the depth-of-field, using active shutter-glasses with lenses that alternate between clear and opaque, dozen of times per second, and per eye; causing the unintended seizures.

“A large part of the population may suffer from epilepsy. So the fact that your eyes are perceiving something flashy may trigger this hidden problem you have. So it maybe very bad ,” adds 3DSwitch CTO Dario Pennisi whose company develops 3D technologies.

To know more about the danger of 3D for epileptics, check out the authoritative Epilepsy.com site, run by the Epilepsy Therapy Project Forum.


British Solar Tariff Is Welcome But Small

February 2, 2010

Britain has been welcoming of wind turbines and a new generation of nuclear plants. But in solar, it lags. (Photo source: The Guardian)

After several months of tough news for the solar panel industry, there were some good tidings Tuesday: the announcement of a British feed in tariff for solar.

The solar business has been reeling from deep cuts in Germany’s aggressive tariff and worries that subsidized Chinese manufacturers will cut prices to the bone – or just above breakeven.

The British initiative drew immediate criticism from those in the UK who believe it didn’t go far enough. But it is a bright spot for manufacturers eager to move product.

The scheme unveiled by the beleaguered Labour government is built on the goal of generating 2 percent of the nation’s energy from distributed sources, such as solar panels on a rooftop, by 2020. Some had urged a more ambitious target, but welcomed any boost to one of Europe’s most under developed solar market places.

The United Kingdom has moved rapidly to install wind turbines and to promote a new generation of nuclear plants. But renewable power is still just about 5 percent of the mix, compared to the European average of 14 percent.

According to IMS Research, the tariff could lead to 250 MW of solar panels installed in 2011. This is a drop in the bucket compared with the roughly 2,000 MW installed in annually in Germany. But that should rise when Brits realize they will see a payback on their investment in 12 years with a product that should last for 25, says IMS. The short-term limitation on the market will be a lack of qualified rooftop solar installers.

The tariff guarantees residents up to 65 cents a KWh for electricity they generate and sell to a utility. A 5 MW cap means it is not designed for large-scale solar farms.

Clearly the tariff could have been larger. Estimates suggest it will add 3 pence to the average utility bill. But at least it is a step in the right direction. Perhaps Americans who still doubt global warming will begin to see the writing on the wall and come to terms with the notion of a tariff in the States.


Key Test Passed By Second Generation Biofuel Maker ZeaChem

February 2, 2010

In a key test of a second-generation biofuel, ZeaChem is reporting Tuesday that it has proven popular trees can be turned into commercial quantities of ethanol.

ZeaChem proved that it can ferment wood from popular trees into acetic acid, the building block for making ethanol

The Colorado company said three large-scale trials it concluded in January yielded acceptable levels of acetic acid, the fundamental building block for biofuel or specialty chemicals. A commercial scale plant is on target for completion by the end of the year.

The test was the first of a technology that up to now has only been demonstrated in the lab. For that reason, it is another important indication that second-generation biofuels – those made from sources other than food crops – can be produced economically in quantities sufficient enough to impact gasoline demand.

“Our confidence is huge that we can go to the next step,” said Jim Imbler, ZeaChem CEO. “Nobody has scaled this up to this size before.”

ZeaChem’s technology calls for wood from poplar trees to be broken down and fermented using bacteria found in termites and the digestive tracks of horses and goats. It is particularly efficiency because it produces no CO2 and therefore doubles the output of useful, fuel-producing carbon.

The company conducted three separate trials of its process and generated concentrations of acetic acid each time that exceeded 50 grams a liter, a significant milestone, said Imbler. The tests were conducted in a 1,500-gallon tank and took less than 100 hours.

The next step is a 250,000-gallon plant in Boardman, OR. ZeaChem won a $25 million Energy Department grant for the construction of the project.


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