Banker Reveals How The Pentagon Is Subsidising Foreign Oil Imports To U.S.

October 6, 2009

The U.S. has only itself to blame - and the U.S. military - for its dependency on foreign oil

The U.S. has only itself to blame - and the U.S. military - for its dependency on foreign oil

What a shocker!

According to the GrowthPoint Technology Partners‘ managing director Robert Horstmeyer, the U.S. military helps subsidising the price of the country’s foreign oil imports to a staggering $50 per barrel of crude; today the barrel of crude rose a bit over $70.

All energies are subsidised, not just the clean, renewable ones

So if Horstmeyer’s calculation is right, the “real” price of gasoline in the U.S. should be closer to $5-$6 a gallon than the average price of $3 in California today, for example.

“It’s very difficult to figure out, when you’re looking at different energy supply, what the real cost of energy is. Everything is subsidised and some of it is dramatically subsidised,” explains Horstmeyer, speaking at an event on solar energy hosted by the SDForum.

The investment banker claims – citing military sources – that the Pentagon is spending about a third of its defense budget – which represents $518.3 billion in fiscal year 2009 – to protect the oil fields in the Middle East, “plus 2 wars!”

“So we’re talking hundreds of billions of dollars a year to import maybe 10 million barrels a day. So if we want to cost that oil properly, we should add $50 a barrel to those imported barrels coming from the Middle East,” explains the investment banker.

Follows are 2 video excerpts. The first related to Horstmeyer’s comments on oil subsidies and the second is his introduction remarks.


Intel Capital Defies Recession; Most Active Corporate VC In Silicon Valley

July 30, 2009
Intels investment managed to survive thanks to its financial returns

Intel's strategic investing arm managed to survive thanks to its financial returns

Started in 1991, Intel Capital is by far the longest surviving “corporate” venture capital organisation and the most active in Silicon Valley.

“We have the classic objective of balancing strategic needs for the company as well as financial returns. We existed this long because we have generated quite positive financial returns for the company… We invest off the balance sheet, we don’t have a fund type structure. But in any given year we invest hundreds of millions of dollars,” explains Intel Capital’s cleantech leader Steve Eichenlaub, speaking at the Intel Technology Summit yesterday in San Francisco.

Intel Capital is “round” agnostic – although prefers investing in B and C rounds – and its 100 or so investment professionals will usually poor around $300 million to $400 million a year, in all stages (seed to publicly traded) of a company’s evolution, worldwide.

Think of Intel Capital as a large venture capital organisation inside of a large publicly traded corporation. “In some ways we kind of do an entire venture capital fund every year!,” added Eichenlaub.

Intel Capital invests in 7 technology markets

Intel Capital invests in these 7 technology markets, cleantech being the newest one

One of the “value-add” that Intel Capital brings to its portfolio companies is its vast network of relationships with large customers, through Tech Days, a one-day event hosted 60 to 70 times a year at a partner location, like Microsoft, BT, Huawei, BMW,Comcast…

Here’s a video excerpt of Eichenlaub’s overview of Intel Capital:


Vinod Khosla: Forecasters Are Wrong, Maintech Not Cleantech

June 4, 2009

Speaking yesterday at the Silicom Ventures Summit 2009, serial entrepreneur and “greentech” venture capitalist Vinod Khosla did his presentation on “Maintech” vs. Cleantech; about the same for the last 6 to 9 months!

For Khosla, Maintech refers to mainstream technologies like engines, lighting, appliances, cement, water, glass and buildings – which are huge markets – and can therefore impact significantly the carbon emission problem; as opposed to Cleantech which is more about huge and complex infrastructure projects like nuclear, solar, wind, etc.

I think this is more about semantic than anything else, but it does allow Khosla to rise above the rest of the “Cleantech” investors.

Don’t believe forecasts, invent your future

Khosla started his keynote by discrediting forecasters and analysts, by proving how wrong they were in several occasions; predicting oil and coal prices or the future of the mobile industry.

You just can’t predict the future with yesterday’s technologies or extrapolate the past. And the best way to predict the future is to invent it! So typical Silicon Valley.

Black Swan solutions needed, not Greenwashing

Khosla then went on at looking for some “black swan solutions” that are responsible for market shifts and ultimately energy innovation. Some of these disruptive solutions could be:

  1. the best way to clean up the air would be to build more coal plants but using carbon sequestration (Calera)
  2. create crude oil from wood chips/waste at refineries through a catalytic process (Kior)
  3. A 5% difference in demand brought oil prices down from $147 to $37. So the idea is to double the efficiency of combustion engines, from 20% efficiency today to 40% and would cut oil consumption in half! “It’s not that hard.” (Transonic)
  4. replacing incandescent bulbs with more expensive LEDs which are 10 times more efficient. The idea here is to significantly reduce the cost of LEDs

To succeed, these “black swan” solutions must return investment in 3 to 5 years, be relevant in cost, scale and not rely in any long term government subsidies and above all survive the Chindia test: it must work in countries like China and India.

Beware of charlatans

Despite being disruptive ideas, investors and the public must be wary of irrational ideas or “silly stuff,” like Sheryl Crow’s one man, one toilet paper idea! There are no “lazy” green solutions, Khosla contends.

The pragmatics survive!

Finally, for Khosla, pragmatism should prevail and that means focusing on mainstream green technologies as well as the large infrastructure projects.

And here’s a copy of an earlier version of Khosla slides:


Judy Estrin: Risk Adversed Investors, Short Term Greed, Fear Of Failure, Are Stifling Innovation

May 14, 2009
To spur innovation, book author and entrepreneur Judy Estrin suggests an overhaul of the U.S. education system, more research and academia investing and the return of risk taking

To spur innovation, book author and entrepreneur Judy Estrin suggests an overhaul of the U.S. education system, more research and academia investing and the return of risk taking

Is innovation really slowing down in Silicon Valley?

I caught up this morning with serial entrepreneur Judy Estrin (former Cisco CTO) who was giving a talk at the Computer History Museum on innovation (or the lack thereof); most of it based on her book Closing the Innovation Gap.

Estrin argued that what is stiffling innovation are risk adversed venture capitalists and overall short term greed, especially since the Internet bubble in the late 90s.

“I’m not saying that there is no innovation going on. But that the innovation support structure in the country has become much more short term focus and not as deep and broad as before. Meaning that the opportunities that I had to build my career don’t exist anymore,” said Estrin.

Silicon Valley is still the world’s innovation hotbed

Although Silicon Valley is a much richer environment than anywhere else in the country or certainly any place in the world, that’s not good enough, points Estrin who sees 2 main culprits for the decline in innovation:

  1. the risk adverse investors in Silicon Valley. Failure is a critical part of innovation. You have to be able to try things even if you don’t know the outcome. You also inspire innovation when you turn threats into challenges and not fear;
  2. and the short term view of both investors and entrepreneurs who want to strike it big and quick. One of Estrin’s core values is patience and tenacity. You need to give time to an idea to develop

“It went from the passion of building a company and changing the world to how much can we make in 2-years. The dynamics have shifted,” adds Estrin who recalled a venture capitalist telling her to come back with several customers before he invests in her start-up.

Here are Estrin’s 5 core values behind innovation: questioning (both yourself and others without being judgmental and the tone matters), risk, openness (sharing, collaboration), patience (tenacity) and trust.

Cleantech and Healthcare are the 2 huge opportunities of this downturn

Estrin also argues that dramatic innovation is needed to help repay the massive deficit and to create the millions of jobs lost.

“Normal growth will not solve those 2 key problems because the companies that laid-off will not rehire the employees. So the only way to solve it is through dramatic innovation that will create new industries,” adds Estrin.

For the 7th-time entrepreneur, energy and environment (cleantech) and healthcare (medicine, wellness, care of elderness…) could be the answer. “A crisis is a terrible thing to waste,” jokes Estrin.

More government investments, corporate incentives will foster innovation

The tech celebrity also suggested that new government policies on immigration and investment in academia (not bailout) and incentivize venture capitalists and corporations to take more risks will boost innovation.

Estrin also suggested investors to measure a company’s CFC (capacity for change) – in addition to its EPS (earnings per share) – and place a value on this ability to invest in innovation.


Cleantech Investments Hit Record $8.4 Billion In 2008

January 7, 2009

According to San Francisco, Calif.-market research firm Cleantech Group, venture capital investment in clean technology fell 35% in the fourth quarter, compare to last year’s figure, to $1.7 billion.

Although its both the steepest quarterly drop in two years and the smallest amount invested in six quarters, 2008 was a good year for U.S. cleantech startups, raising $5.8 billion in 241 “disclosed” investment rounds, up 56% from 2007.

All in all, VC investments in cleantech hit a record $8.4 billion, up from $6.1 billion in 2007. Solar continued to account for the lion’s share of investments with 40% of the total, followed by biofuels, transportation and wind.

Top investors included Khosla Ventures, which participated in 21 disclosed rounds, and Kleiner Perkins, which participated in 18. Vinod Khosla, founder of Khosla Ventures and former lead of KP’s clean tech practice, is one of the pioneer in clean-tech investing.


Memo To Silicon Valley: 2009 Is The New 2001, All Deals Are Series A; But VCs Are Hurt Too!

December 9, 2008
Amid the general gloom and doom, Cleantech and Life science companies are doing well, according to PwC managing director, Steve Bergson.

Amid the overall gloom and doom, Cleantech and Life science companies are doing better than their peers in the Tech sector, according to PwC managing director, Steve Bengston.

So the word is finally out. No, not about the recession which everybody in this country – except perhaps the U.S. government – felt since last year when gas prices were going through the roof, but about what’s really happening in the cosy venture capital world of Silicon Valley today: fire sale of startups; cram-downs, slashing startups valuations; venture capitalists layoffs; venture firms closing, etc.

All fund raising are now A-rounds

And for Pricewaterhouse Coopers managing director of emerging company services, Steve Bengston, it’s 2001 all over again. As a result, companies in need to raise additional funds in 2009 will pay a much higher price for it.

“It’s a buyers market. And certainly a great time for venture capitalists that could get their hands on very good companies and technologies at unbelievably cheap valuations, in the single digit! For entrepreneurs, it will not get better until perhaps 3 or 4 years from now,” predicts Bengston, speaking this morning at the SDForum‘s Quarterly Venture breakfast event.

Entrepreneurs and startups are not the only ones feeling the pain. Venture capitalists do too!

“The Limited Partners (LPs) that are funding venture capital firms are complaining of their investments’ poor returns. Firms will then have to layoff their poor performers while others will just shut down because they couldn’t raise their next fund,” adds Bengston.

Although the credit crunch is hurting Silicon Valley more than the previous Internet bubble burst because of its worldwide phenomena, Bengston sees Cleantech and the Life science as “robust” sectors for the years to come.


Serious Materials CEO: U.S. Cleantech Companies Can Not Make Money In China; But Opportunities Abound In Europe And The Middle East

December 4, 2008

 

Kevin Surace, founder and CEO of Serious Materials think U.S. greentech companies can not make money in China yet

Kevin Surace, founder and CEO of Serious Materials think U.S. greentech companies can not make money in China yet

U.S. greentech companies are facing two main challenges entering the Chinese market: intellectual property and price.

“Everyone talks that China is going to go green, but when you go there and you see them build the absolutely cheapest thing with absolutely no codes that they can do,” rants Kevin Surace, speaking at SDForum’s “Green and Clean” event last night.

The Serious Materials‘ founder and CEO said he spent quite a lot of money figuring out how to make money in China and compete with Chinese products that are not made in an environmentally acceptable way; he points to dry wall products costing as low as 10 to 15 cents a sheet in China.
 

“They talk about green but then behind it everybody is paid off. Between the intellectual property issues and the fact that they don’t want to pay a dime for anything, I don’t know how I’m going to get any money there,” complains Surace.

Europe and the Middle East are where the real money is for cleantech companies, not China

The Sunnyvale, Calif. startup is today in no hurry to put a factory in China at this time but that could change in the next 2 to 3 years. 

“It’s going to happen because they can’t keep going like this. And China already surpassed the U.S. in CO2 emissions this year,” indicates Surace. 

 
However, Europe and the Middle East are where the “real money” is today thanks to local government subsidies in Europe and several trillions of dollars of build committed in the Middle East.


6 Silicon Valley Cleantech Startups Receive Free Help/Rent For One Year From The City Of San Jose

November 7, 2008

 

San Jose Mayor Chuck Reed

San Jose Mayor Chuck Reed

At a ceremony in San Jose City Hall this afternoon, 6 Silicon Valley cleantech startups – winners of the 2008 California Clean Tech Open - received from mayor Chuck Reed the city’s first ever Green Vision Innovation prize. 

The prize includes 1 year of free furnished office space at the Environmental Business Cluster, one of San Jose’s incubators as well as numerous services from the city’s incubator program, including business planning, market analysis, intellectual property assessment, financing assistance, investor and customer presentations, and the design of marketing and sales collateral.

“Only in Silicon Valley that you can start small and grow big fast. So we just got to make it possible for these companies to get started. And we’re very confident that we’re going to have great businesses, lots of employees, lots of investments and lots of development in San Jose as a result of this [prize]“, said Mayor Chuck Reed.

The San Jose prize comes on top of the $50,000 cash prize and $50,000 in services that each of the 6 Bay Area startups received from the nonprofit, California Cleantech Open.

Here is the list of the 6 winning Silicon Valley startups and their location:

  • Air and Water: Over the Moon Diapers develops diapers made with mostly recycled materials and strong enough for industrial washing. San Francisco.
  • Energy Efficiency: Viridis Earth has engineered a $350 device that cuts energy use in residential air conditioners. San Jose.
  • Green Building: BottleStone has created a building material with a ceramic stone surface and made with 80 percent recycled glass. Los Altos Hills.
  • Renewables: Focal Point Energy has a solar concentrator that uses the sun’s heat instead of light to generate electricity. San Jose.
  • Smart Power: Power Assure has developed a software for data centers to manage power use and conserve energy. Santa Clara.
  • Transportation: ElectraDrive converts gasoline vehicles into electric rides by replacing the drive trains. San Francisco.

Cleantech Investment: After Green Building, Net Zero Emission Is Next

October 21, 2008
Paul Holland, General Partner, Foundation Capital

Paul Holland, General Partner at Foundation Capital built a Net Zero home in Portola Valley, Calif.

The next big big big thing in green building (home or offices) is “Net Zero”, a general term applied to a building with a net energy consumption of zero over a typical year. 

Eating his own “dog” food, Paul Holland, the head of Foundation Capital Cleantech practice, recently built his Net Zero home in Portola Valley, Calif. Albeit not totally greenhouse gas emission free yet – because of some gas equipment -, Holland’s home actually produces enough electricity to power his electric cars!

“A building has to be thought as a utility plant”, says Holland.

By 2020, all new homes in California will have to be Net Zero compliant (Assembly Bill 32). Commercial buildings will have until 2030 to comply. In San Jose, Calif., Integrated Design Associates (IDeAs) opened last year the first “Z Squared” office in the U.S. which is both net zero energy and zero carbon emissions.

Buildings use 40% of the total energy in the US and European Union.


Foundation Capital Builds U.S. “Greenest” Venture Capital Office

October 21, 2008

 

Foundation Capital Greenest Offices

Foundation Capital's green mansion in Menlo Park, calif.

I was yesterday attending Foundation Capital “cleantech” open house. The Menlo Park, Calif., venture capitalist firm has recently moved to a 55-year old mission-style structure that they turn into the greenest venture capital building in the country by using some of the materials they have invested in!

The offices are currently in the process of becoming LEED Gold certified. The building features green building materials like recycled carpets, hickory wood floors and a roof made of 100% cotton and denim fibers.

Inspite of a very bright open space like arrangement, you can still find have secrecy (but no really privacy) thanks to soundproof, energy efficient drywall!

An intelligent sensor system made by one of Foundation Capital portfolio startup, Control4, controls lightning, audio and HVAC and ensure that rooms will power down when empty.


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