California’s Carbon Cap And Former Secretary Of State George Shultz

June 25, 2010

The costs of California aggressive measures on climate change have been called devastating, catastrophic, job killers. A measure on November’s ballot would like to end them.

The emmission of carbon imposes a cost on society, says former Secretary of State George Shultz.

Opponents cite several studies, including a 2009 analysis by the California State University at Sacramento, which calculates implementation costs at $100 billion and expenses for each household at $3,857.

These dire predictions may be off the mark. Costs should be far less moderate, and despite all the yammering, state regulators appear ready to move ahead.

The California Air Resources Board still intends to begin working on a statewide cap and trade system later this year, says the board’s Assistant Executive Officer Kevin Kennedy. It also plans to impose responsibilities for anti-sprawl measures on local planning boards with the goal of reducing miles driven.

Giving cover to these efforts are several smarter studies of the state’s effort to promote renewable energy and cut greenhouse gases 15 percent by 2020. “It would be inaccurate to say, if these studies are right, that AB32 will kill the California economy,” says Lawrence Goulder, director of the environmental and energy policy analysis center at Stanford University.

Goulder said Friday at the Silicon Valley Energy Summit that three studies, including one by Charles River Associates, predict global warming regulations to:

*Reduce California’s gross state product by a modest .2 percent to 2.2 percent;

*Change incomes in the state in a range that will add $86 to salaries or cut them by $2,800;

*And increase jobs statewide by 10,000 or reduce them by as much as 485,000.

According to former secretary of state George Shultz, now a distinguished fellow at the Hoover Institute, greenhouse gases might be more intelligently viewed from the opposite angle.

“The emission of carbon imposes a cost on society,” he says. “That is a fact.” Regulations such as cap and trade or a carbon tax help level the playing field and assign a monetary value to innovation.


Ford Ahead Of Schedule With Strategy For Low Carbon Cars

June 8, 2010

Ford is relying on its EcoBoost engine and sharp reductions in vehicle bulk to meet its low carbon goals – putting electrification into the back seat for now

The carmaker will report next week that it could surpass its 2020 goal of cutting CO2 emissions from its new U.S. and European cars by 30 percent compared with 2006. The greater confidence will be highlighted in its annual Sustainability Report, which will be released June 15.

Up to now, the Dearborn manufacturer has maintained that it is on track to reach the goal.

Ford's economical EcoBoost engine is one leg of the carbon-reduction stategy. Weight loss is the other.

The greater-than-expected progress is the result of a two-pronged effort to push its economical EcoBoost engine into existing models and take hundreds of pounds out of next-generation designs, says John Viera, director of sustainable business practices.

Ford sent the EcoBoost into production last year and the engine could be available in more than a million vehicles annually by 2013. Its greater fuel efficiency comes from the use of high-pressure fuel injection, which sprays cylinders with a mist of gasoline. Fuel economy gains can be up to 20 percent. Performance improvements allow V6 motors to be used in place of V8s, and 4s instead of 6s.

Ford is accompanying the EcoBoost with more modest steps it calls “1 percent” enhancements. A six-speed transmission might be installed instead of a five-speed, or electric power-assist steering might be used to cut down on resistance.

Major overhauls of production vehicles are done every four to six years, and new designs will see a big focus on weight reduction.The initiative could take 250 to 750 pounds out of cars, major steps for an industry that rejoices at taking 10 pounds from a current model.

Some of the weight reduction will come from the use of different materials, particularly aluminum and high-strength steel. The consequence is that less energy will be needed to power cars, and engines can be downsized. So a 1.7 liter, four-cylinder motor can substitute for a 2.4 liter.

As to greater engine efficiencies from breakthroughs in internal-combustion design, technology gains are difficult to project at this time. “I don’t necessarily see that on the horizon,” says Viera.

Ford claims its 30 percent emissions cuts are necessary to blunt the environment impact of global warming. Cars and trucks contribute 20 percent of the world’s CO2 emissions, and if the danger line is 450 parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere, as some scientists believe, then the 30-percent target is what the company needs to do its part. The CO2 level is about 380 ppm today.

Vierra says the role of electric cars in climate change will be limited for the immediate future because of their comparatively small volumes. Electric cars and trucks will play a far more important role in the 2030 to 2040 timeframe, when the world will need to move away from fossil fuels for transportation, he says.

It is important to prepare for that shift today.


Computer Giants IBM, H-P Battle For The Eco High Ground

April 23, 2010

Hewlett-Packard has received accolades for imposing environmental requirements on its sprawling network of suppliers — but IBM isn’t ready to cede the eco high ground.

The battle between the world’s two largest information-technology giants is heating up this year. The fallout could be a massive shift in the way supply chains monitor, measure, manage and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

IBM unveiled new demands on its suppliers including the public release of environmental performance

Big Blue this week unveiled a sweeping new policy the company will impose on its 28,000 suppliers in 90 countries. At its heart is the demand that companies selling everything from electronics components to tax services develop formal management systems for monitoring, measuring and reducing energy use, greenhouse gas emissions and waste.

The new sustainability policy requires for the first time that companies make public their progress against voluntary goals. Public disclosures could also include carbon footprints, water consumption and incidentals, such as environmental fines.

The initiative takes IBM policy “up another notch,” says Edan Dionne, director of corporate environmental affairs. “It’s a natural step in the process. It behooves us to have a [systematic] approach to dealing with environmental issues” instead of the sometimes ad hoc measures of the past.

H-P put a similar policy in place last September. The Silicon Valley company’s Global Citizen effort requires suppliers to reduce the environmental impact of their operations — including the products and services they provide H-P. The policy covers energy use, emissions and the use of hazardous materials.

It also requires the creation of management systems to measure and monitor improvements on environmental, occupational health, human rights and labor issues. The systems must be integrated into a company’s business practices, according to a statement released at the time.

Furthermore, “suppliers are to provide clear, timely, accurate and appropriate reporting to H-P upon request,” the policy states.

Joseph Sandor, a professor of supply management at the Eli Broad School of Business, says the two companies’ intentions are aimed at mitigating a big chunk of their environmental impact. Most corporations generate 30 percent of their carbon footprints from internal operations and 70 percent from their suppliers’. The ratio at high-tech firms is more one-sided. As much as 90 percent comes from the supply chain since manufacturing and distribution are typically outsourced, says Sandor.

He says the public disclosure requirement in the IBM policy may have a lasting impact on doing business with corporate America. “The more public nature of IBM’s initiative may be more ‘sustainably’ positive insofar as it raises awareness among multiple stakeholders,” he said in an e-mail. Further, the company’s demand that first-tier suppliers impose the management-system requirement on their suppliers is “clear evidence that IBM is using its position and spending power to influence the broad supplier network,” he wrote.

H-P is unlikely to let down its guard. The company was the first major IT firm to report greenhouse gas emissions from its supply chain — 4.1 million metric tonnes in 2008, which is more than twice the emissions of its own operations. Suppliers representing 86 percent of materials and manufacturing spending reported their energy use and greenhouse gas emissions, up from 81 percent in 2007.

“We are working more broadly to better standardize tools and methodologies to facilitate consistent and reliable reporting among suppliers,” the company said in the Global Citizenship Report for 2009 it recently issued.

As to the new IBM policy, Dionne says the initiative is not designed to be a “one-size-fits-all” requirement and that it could be several years before all companies have a formal management system in place. “Some suppliers are already there,” with institutionalized policies that extend from the top of the organization to the bottom with integrated business processes and accurate measurement tools, she said. Others have significant ground to cover and will create policies appropriate for their businesses.

In the process, will firms be required to buy needed software and hardware from IBM? “No,” says Dionne. But suppliers should take note: failing to meet the requirements could mean an end to an IBM business relationship. It has happened in the past over environmental concerns, says Dionne.


Utility Beware: Only 4% Of Americans Know What A Smart Grid Is

March 23, 2010

Electric utilities have a monumental consumer education task in front of them.

Vendors such as GE and IBM form an alliance to reach the 79 percent of Americans who don't know what smart grids and smart meters are

Only 4 percent of Americans really know what smart grids are. An additional 17 percent say they are “somewhat familiar” with the term, but the remainder are basically in the dark, according to a survey sponsored by GE.

The survey points to a challenge that so far has not made the global-warming radar. Smart grids, of course, have several definitions. But one thing is for sure. They are critical energy-conservation and management tools in the fight for the planet’s health.

And before they can be used, utilities are going to need to teach people what they are.

By definition, smart grids have two roles. In the first, they are information conduits between consumers and utilities, providing energy-use data that will let people make smarter decisions about how and when to buy electricity. As daytime power becomes more expensive, the smart grid will help consumers shift use to off-peak hours.

They also have a backroom role, aiding utilities in managing a more complex power flow. Renewables such as solar and wind don’t produce power in steady streams. Managing the ups and downs will require a more intelligent infrastructure – and this will only increase as more consumers put solar on their roofs and sell unused power to the grid.

Unfortunately, much of this goes over the heads of average Americans. On Tuesday, a handful of industry vendors took a first step toward changing this. Companies such as GE, IBM, Silver Spring Networks, Control4 and the GridWise Alliance formed the Smart Grid Consumer Collaborative to promote consumer eduction.

The good news from the survey is that among those who do understand smart grids, 72 percent believe they will save them money and 63 percent believe they will create new energy jobs.


Evidence Of Global Warming Strengthens, Say Energy Secretary Chu

March 9, 2010

Evidence of global warming continues to accumulate, says Energy Secretary Steven Chu, with dire warnings for those who ignore it.

"This is the smoking gun," says Energy Secretary Steven Chu.

New research reinforces the claim that human activities are behind the build up of CO2 and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, Chu said during an address at Stanford University.

“This is the smoking gun,” he said. “The carbon in the atmosphere is due to humans.”

The new research examines the types of carbon in the atmosphere and compares the ratio of carbon-14, a rare form of carbon created in the upper atmosphere, to carbon-12, formed by the burning of fossil fuels. It offers unequivocal proof, he said

Chu warned that the dangers of business as usual could be considerable. During the last ice age, average global temperatures were 6 degrees Celsius cooler than today. And yet much of Europe and North America lay under sheets of ice.

If the world continues unimpeded to burn fossil fuels, temperatures could rise 3 to 6 degrees Celsius. “Six degrees represent a profound change,” he said.

To many, the dangers of climate change seem remote because changing temperatures are difficult to measure over a span of 20 to 30 years. In recent years, for instance, temperatures seem to have reached a plateau.

But scientists looking at a 150-year period observe a rise and steeper rises will come, Chu said. The impact of the increasing CO2 “won’t be fully felt for 100 years…cause the oceans have to warm up.”

The way to fight this rise, many experts say, is to limit the use of fossil fuels by putting a price on carbon. “We will live in a carbon constrained world,” Chu agreed. It may take five years to arrive; it may take 10. “It is coming,” he said.


The US Is In Danger Of Losing The Clean Tech Race, Says Energy Secretary Chu

March 8, 2010

The United States risks losing the race to a clean-tech economy if it fails to get serious about global warming, Energy Department Secretary Steven Chu said Monday.

Taking five years or longer to pass energy legislation will limit the nation’s ability to be a leader in the green-energy technologies of tomorrow, Chu said during an address at Stanford University.

American prosperity is at stake, said Energy Secretary Steven Chu.

“I think we will lose (and) end up purchasing equipment from abroad,” he said. “The future prosperity of the United States is at risk.”

Chu used the midday speech to renew his call for an energy bill from Congress. But he also highlighted the danger more motivated countries, particularly China, pose to a complacent country.

China is spending $9 billion a month to diversify its energy production, he noted. One advanced power line project by itself will cost $88 billion over the next decade as high-efficiency high-tension wires are strung 1,200 miles from east to west. The wires will transport energy to the coastal population centers with miniscule energy losses of as little as 5 percent.

In 1996, the U.S. was the leading manufacturer of solar panels. Now its market share is below 10 percent, Chu added. “We are falling behind in the clean-energy race.”

He argued that the importance of energy legislation can’t be overstated. A properly crafted bill will set a price on carbon and a cap on permitted emissions, giving companies the clarity to begin making investments. Even a modest bill can provide an important signal to the market, he said

That Obama Administration has made the goal of energy legislation a top priority. Chu hoped to push the effort along: “I would like to have it this year.”

But the nation needs more than legislation. The Recovery Act passed at the start of the Obama Administration set aside $80 billion for clean technology development. However, many of the grants and tax credits it included have been allocated.

More money will be needed, Chu said. “We still need tens of billions of dollars at a minimum a year. The Recovery Act was a start of that.”

Chu said the future prosperity of the country hangs in the balance. So does the U.S.’s first climate change counter punch, a long awaited first blow.


Al Gore Responds To Climate Critics: You Can’t Wish It Away

February 28, 2010

Al Gore responded to climate critics on Sunday in a The NewYork Times op-ed piece entitled  “We Can’t Wish Away Climate Change.”

Minor mistakes in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report don't change its conclusions, says Al Gore

The former vice president and climate crusader took aim at naysayers who he said doggedly persist in trying to prove every major National Academy of Sciences report on global warming is hugely wrong.

“Unfortunately, the reality of the danger we are courting has not been changed by the discovery of at least two mistakes in the thousands of pages of careful scientific work over the last 22 years by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,” he wrote. Global warming disbelievers say the two mistakes – an incorrect projection for the melting of Himalayan glaciers and an overstatement of the amount of the Netherlands below sea level – undermine the report.

In addition, e-mail message stolen from the University of East Anglia in Britain hardly wish away the temperature records the university generates. Instead they show that “scientists besieged by an onslaught of hostile, make-work demands from climate skeptics may not have adequately followed the requirements of the British freed of information law,” he said.

Despite these failings, the scientific consensus on global warming remains unchanged, with the world dumping 90 million tons of greenhouse gas pollution into the atmosphere everyday.

January may have seemed unusually cold in the United States, but globally it was the second hottest January in the past 130 years, Gore said.

Congress, instead of moving ahead with regulation, is paralyzed by the disbelievers, supported by businesses that depend on unrestrained pollution and news organization who “present showmen masquerading as political thinkers who package hatred and divisiveness as entertainment,” he wrote.

Gore went on to point out that the United States trails China in the race to develop smart electric grids, fast trains, solar power, wind energy, geothermal plants and therefore sources for new 21st Century jobs.

It is time, he added, to do the right thing.


Clean Energy Bloom Boxes Still Have A Dirty Side

February 24, 2010

In the gush of enthusiasm for Bloom Energy’s new energy box, one topic has received scant attention: its environmental impact.

Coca-Cola expected five Bloom boxes will help it cut the carbon footprint of an Odwalla plant by 35 percent.

The hype is that the new Bloom Energy Server is ready to save the world, to generate electricity without producing greenhouse gases. It is not quite that simple.

When most people think of fuel cells – Bloom hut-sized device is in fact a fuel cell – they think of hydrogen cells, which consume hydrogen and oxygen and produce heat and water. Very clean.

The Bloom Box is different. It requires oxygen and a fuel, such as natural gas, methane or biofuel. So while it generates electricity without combustion, it does produce the greenhouse gas CO2.

At a coming out event Wednesday morning, Bloom argued the box’s emissions were substantially less than those of a traditional power plant. Hence the claim of clean energy.

But it is a matter of degrees. Bloom says its new 100 kW box is 67 percent cleaner than a coal-fired plant, the dirtiest of the traditional electric plants. To drive home this point, it offered testimony from its first Fortune 500 customers.

Coca-Cola, for instance, has five boxes it intends to install at its Odwalla plant in California. The Energy Servers will run on biogas, generate 30 percent of the facility’s power and cut its carbon footprint by 35 percent. Coca was the most detailed.

Bank of America plans to use five Bloom boxes to run a call center in Southern California. The units will replace diesel generators and cut carbon emissions, though the company didn’t say exactly how much.

On its Web site, Bloom aims to be more specific. Customers will cut CO2 emissions by 40 percent to 100 percent, depending on the fuel they use, and virtually eliminate sulfur oxides, nitrogen oxide and other smog-forming emission. A biofuel would likely equate to the 100 percent claim, though it, too, would produce CO2.

Looked at another way, says Bloom, since the Energy Servers first appeared at customer sites in July 2008, they have generated more than 11 million kilowatt hours of electricity and reduced CO2 by about 14 million pounds.

That’s an important step. But alone it wouldn’t solve the climate crisis.


Scientists Defend UN Climate Change Report From Right Wing Assault

February 23, 2010

Scalding critiques of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s 2007 report run hotter than Ronald Reagan’s temper confronting a Vietnam War peace demonstration.

Mistakes, these right wing critics claim, undermine the entire U.N.-sponsored study.

Global warming disbelievers have attacked the UN's IPCC report. But rather trivial errors in the document don't undermine its findings.

It is shocking the force that several rather trivial errors have in seeming to undermine a massive three-volume report totaling more than 3,000 pages. Welcome to the crazy  the climate change debate.

It was the IPCC report that formally warned that  the burning of fossil fuels was warming the globe and called for action to be taken. The study was immediately assailed as over reaching. Now right-wingers and Republicans are feasting on several errors uncovered in the report to complain its conclusions should be ignored. Among the mistakes is an incorrect date for the melting of the Himalayan glaciers. The study claimed 2035, but it is more likely later this century.

Another incorrect statement describes the Netherlands as more than 50 percent under sea level. A final missed detail is the result of the IPCC relying on non-scientific source to claim that 40 percent of the Amazon rain forest will become to savanna if the warming trend from CO2 accumulation is not reversed.

None of these mistakes should have appeared in the scholarly work, people from both sides of the political aisle agree. But they are relatively minor points considering the scope of the work, according to climate scientists interviewed about the controversy.

“I’m not surprised that a report which involves three massive volumes (each over 1000 pages of smallish print), written by over 450 lead authors and 800 contributing authors (and reviewed by 2,500 expert experts who submitted 90,000 review comments on the draft document) (could) have a few errors in it,” says Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, professor and director of the Global Change Institute at the University of Queensland in Australia.

“When you compare it to the gross errors of fact which are promulgated by people claiming that climate change is not occurring, these few errors in an otherwise very watertight document are relatively insignificant,” he says.

Preventing errors should be a major concern for the IPCC. But do they justify throwing out the rest of the wor?. “Of course not,” Hoegh-Guldberg wrote in an e-mail.


Global Warming Naysayer ExxonMobil Adopts Carbon Monitoring Software

February 22, 2010

With new rules taking hold in the U.S. and U.K. requiring companies to report their carbon footprints, the market for carbon monitoring software should be expected to boom.

Exxonmobil's decision to buy software from Locus Technologies shows the huge opportunites ahead of environmental management software

While this is good news for vendors, it also is likely to highlight the fragmented, topsy-turvy nature of this still evolving market place. It also means wrestling with the industry’s biggest fear: greenwash, the notion that the software is whitewashing carbon use and emissions to make a company look good.

There are signs this transformation to honesty is slowly taking place. In a downplayed announcement on Monday, the oil giant and past global warming naysayer ExxonMobil said it had begun implementing carbon-monitoring software from Locus Technologies. The move suggests that even some of the most reluctant corporations see the value in a genuine effort to keep track of CO2 and other greenhouse gas contributors.

Remember that ExxonMobil, under its former CEO Lee Raymond, was an ardent denier of global warming, going so far as to fund groups providing disinformation to undermine the science. Obviously the company’s thinking has come in full circle.

In fairness, this reassessment has been a process playing out over several years. Since 2007 the oil driller has begun acknowledging the existence of global warming, and in January 2009 under new chief Rex Tillerson, it advocated a carbon tax in the United States (a policy albeit with almost no chance of making it by Republicans and conservative Democrats in Congress).

Nevertheless, Monday’s news is sort of another symbolic shift. In a press release, Locus said it had started installing its environmental information management software worldwide for the company. No other details were available.

The announcement underscores the huge opportunities for companies, such as Locus. But that doesn’t mean challenges aren’t considerable. To start with, far too many software developers hope to play in the market – 120 by some counts. A shakeout is likely, with start-ups wincing in the face of competition from financially powerful companies, such as SAP.

Another concern is the notion of scale. Hundreds of thousands of software systems are in use around the world – if not more – ranging from custom-built proprietary programs to standard off-the-shelf applications written by the likes of Oracle.

Connecting to them all is a gargantuan task. U.K. based start-up AMEE has so far connected to about 10,000 of them, says CEO and founder Gavin Starks. It is now time to expand that to 100,000, he says.

Cautiously optimistic, Locus CEO Neno Duplan warns of a near-term dip in the market if a backlash to greenwashing takes place. However, overtime the sales chart should point up. Even ExxonMobil can see that.


Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 31 other followers