Scientists Defend UN Climate Change Report From Right Wing Assault

February 23, 2010

Scalding critiques of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s 2007 report run hotter than Ronald Reagan’s temper confronting a Vietnam War peace demonstration.

Mistakes, these right wing critics claim, undermine the entire U.N.-sponsored study.

Global warming disbelievers have attacked the UN's IPCC report. But rather trivial errors in the document don't undermine its findings.

It is shocking the force that several rather trivial errors have in seeming to undermine a massive three-volume report totaling more than 3,000 pages. Welcome to the crazy  the climate change debate.

It was the IPCC report that formally warned that  the burning of fossil fuels was warming the globe and called for action to be taken. The study was immediately assailed as over reaching. Now right-wingers and Republicans are feasting on several errors uncovered in the report to complain its conclusions should be ignored. Among the mistakes is an incorrect date for the melting of the Himalayan glaciers. The study claimed 2035, but it is more likely later this century.

Another incorrect statement describes the Netherlands as more than 50 percent under sea level. A final missed detail is the result of the IPCC relying on non-scientific source to claim that 40 percent of the Amazon rain forest will become to savanna if the warming trend from CO2 accumulation is not reversed.

None of these mistakes should have appeared in the scholarly work, people from both sides of the political aisle agree. But they are relatively minor points considering the scope of the work, according to climate scientists interviewed about the controversy.

“I’m not surprised that a report which involves three massive volumes (each over 1000 pages of smallish print), written by over 450 lead authors and 800 contributing authors (and reviewed by 2,500 expert experts who submitted 90,000 review comments on the draft document) (could) have a few errors in it,” says Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, professor and director of the Global Change Institute at the University of Queensland in Australia.

“When you compare it to the gross errors of fact which are promulgated by people claiming that climate change is not occurring, these few errors in an otherwise very watertight document are relatively insignificant,” he says.

Preventing errors should be a major concern for the IPCC. But do they justify throwing out the rest of the wor?. “Of course not,” Hoegh-Guldberg wrote in an e-mail.


Global Warming Naysayer ExxonMobil Adopts Carbon Monitoring Software

February 22, 2010

With new rules taking hold in the U.S. and U.K. requiring companies to report their carbon footprints, the market for carbon monitoring software should be expected to boom.

Exxonmobil's decision to buy software from Locus Technologies shows the huge opportunites ahead of environmental management software

While this is good news for vendors, it also is likely to highlight the fragmented, topsy-turvy nature of this still evolving market place. It also means wrestling with the industry’s biggest fear: greenwash, the notion that the software is whitewashing carbon use and emissions to make a company look good.

There are signs this transformation to honesty is slowly taking place. In a downplayed announcement on Monday, the oil giant and past global warming naysayer ExxonMobil said it had begun implementing carbon-monitoring software from Locus Technologies. The move suggests that even some of the most reluctant corporations see the value in a genuine effort to keep track of CO2 and other greenhouse gas contributors.

Remember that ExxonMobil, under its former CEO Lee Raymond, was an ardent denier of global warming, going so far as to fund groups providing disinformation to undermine the science. Obviously the company’s thinking has come in full circle.

In fairness, this reassessment has been a process playing out over several years. Since 2007 the oil driller has begun acknowledging the existence of global warming, and in January 2009 under new chief Rex Tillerson, it advocated a carbon tax in the United States (a policy albeit with almost no chance of making it by Republicans and conservative Democrats in Congress).

Nevertheless, Monday’s news is sort of another symbolic shift. In a press release, Locus said it had started installing its environmental information management software worldwide for the company. No other details were available.

The announcement underscores the huge opportunities for companies, such as Locus. But that doesn’t mean challenges aren’t considerable. To start with, far too many software developers hope to play in the market – 120 by some counts. A shakeout is likely, with start-ups wincing in the face of competition from financially powerful companies, such as SAP.

Another concern is the notion of scale. Hundreds of thousands of software systems are in use around the world – if not more – ranging from custom-built proprietary programs to standard off-the-shelf applications written by the likes of Oracle.

Connecting to them all is a gargantuan task. U.K. based start-up AMEE has so far connected to about 10,000 of them, says CEO and founder Gavin Starks. It is now time to expand that to 100,000, he says.

Cautiously optimistic, Locus CEO Neno Duplan warns of a near-term dip in the market if a backlash to greenwashing takes place. However, overtime the sales chart should point up. Even ExxonMobil can see that.


Global Warming Doubters Miss The Target (And The Facts)

February 22, 2010

Global warming doubters have mounted a furious attack recently on the science of global warming. But these 21st Century luddites are making a cardinal mistake – inferring from minor oversights and mistakes the collapse of decades of established science.

"The best current view from science still makes it nearly certain that man-made CO2 is respsonbile for most fo the warming of the past century," says Stanford University professor Robert Dunbar.

Climatologists and scientists at top universities reveal how hollow their arguments are. In e-mail exchanges, TechPulse 360 queried several of these experts on key points being used by right wingers and Republicans in Congress, including Oklahoma Senator James Inhofe, who once described the Internet as a series of vacuum tubes.

Among the doubters’ key weapons is a series of e-mail and documents stolen in November from the climate research unit of the University of East Anglia in Britain. The copied cache of data includes more than 1,000 e-mail, 2,000 documents and technical software code. The climate research unit supplied some of the temperature measurements and calculations used in the influence Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report on global warming. The U.N.-sponsored report, issued in 2007, concludes the burning of fossil fuels in power plants and cars contributes to climate change and needs to be curtailed worldwide.

Naysayers complain the purloined e-mail catch scientists manipulating data and conspiring to silence critics.

Robert Dunbar, a professor of earth science at Stanford University, disagrees. He says the e-mail offer signs of scientists frustrated with those who dismiss global warming science, but provide no evidence of manipulation.

More proof of global warming lies in the oceans, where one-third of CO2 is collected. This leads to acidification. "It just isn't open for argument - the science is too simple," says Dunbar.

In his e-mail, Dunbar, who in the past has submitted scientific data to the university, noted that he spent eight hours reading the messages. “I didn’t see evidence of purposeful manipulation of data or cherry-picking to tell a predetermined story,” he said. “There was talk of not including certain articles in the IPCC review, but in the end they were included.”

He adds that the critical university temperature records are one of several independent records, and they are almost identical to the ones generated by NOAA and NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies.

“There are still some uncertainties, but the best current view from science still makes it nearly certain that man-made CO2 is responsible for most of the warming of the past century,” Dunbar writes. “I haven’t seen anything in recent revelations from the East Anglia e-mails or the AR4 that changes this basic conclusion. I also note that the professional skeptics remain a fairly small well-connected group with an agenda that seems to differ from the scientific method.”

Dunbar takes a separate tact as well to illustrate the dangers of global warming. “The real kicker is this: even if we were uncertain about the validity of man-induced (temperature) rise, no one can credibly question the science behind ocean acidification. CO2 has risen in the atmosphere. We know this rise comes from fossil fuel burning. We know about one-third has dissolved into the ocean. We have measured the pH change this has caused. It just isn’t open for argument – the physics is too simple. In the landscape of impacts, some scientists feel that the consequences of ongoing ocean acidification on ocean community health are severe. So even, if warming was highly uncertain, the ocean side of the story alone should be a compelling argument for mitigation.”

Got it?


Bloom Unveils Revolutionary Fuel Cell Power Plant On CBS 60 Minutes

February 21, 2010

Secretive start-up Bloom Energy offered a first public look Sunday at its long awaited fuel cell designed to replace power plants with on-site energy generation for businesses and, eventually, homes.

The company, which raised about $400 million and spent nine years on product development, will formally introduce the power cell on Wednesday. It gave an early description of the product to CBS’s 60 Minutes. Already 20 companies including Google, eBay, Wal-Mart, Staples and FedEx have purchased and are testing the so-called Bloom Box.

KR Sridhar shows off the coated ceramic disks at the heart of the Bloom Box fuel cell.

The release of the new device is a potentially revolutionary step for the utility industry. For decades, inventors have hoped to master the science of fuel cells, but unsuccessfully till now. With power beginning to migrate from central locations to where is it needed, the structure of the industry could change radically.

KR Sridhar, co-founder of the company, said his goal is to replace traditional power plants with Bloom Boxes distributed about the countryside at businesses, schools and residences. Initially the refrigerator-sized device will cost between $700,000 and $800,000, keeping it out of the reach of all but the largest corporations.

But Sridhar said his goal through volume manufacturing is to lower the cost to $3,000. The box generates electricity by consuming fuel, such as natural gas, methane or landfill gas, and oxygen without combustion. Its efficiency is anticipated to be greater than a large power plant, making it more cost effective to run. In 5 to 10 years, Bloom Box could be in every home, predicts Sridhar.

EBay says it is testing five boxes it purchased 9 months ago. They generate 15 percent of the electricity used at the company’s Silicon Valley campus and have saved the company $150,000 in energy costs. The boxes run on methane retrieved from landfill waste.

At present, Bloom is producing just one box a day. Industry insiders speculate the company will choose a U.S. manufacturing site shortly, possibility with the help of Energy Department loan guarantees.

According to Colin Powell, former secretary of state and a Boom board member, “I think (the Bloom Box) is part of the transformation of the energy system.”

Certainly a $3,000 at-home energy device is an exciting development.


Global Warming Naysayers Spread Disinformation, Says Climate Guru

February 19, 2010

The U.S. will be able to fund the switch to a green economy, but it squandered 30 years since the start of the Reagan presidency by not funding clean-tech research.

This was the message from environmental soothsayer Jeffrey Sachs during an appearance at Stanford University on Thursday night.

It is hard to argue the switch to green energy will break the U.S. economy, says Jeffrey Sachs

Sachs said it is hard to imagine the cost of promoting solar, wind, nuclear and clean-coal power over energy from fossil fuels will do more than shave a couple of percentage points off the nation’s gross domestic product. “It’s hard to make the argument this breaks the economy,” said director of the Earth Institute and professor at Columbia University during an address.

However, this is exactly what global warming naysayers claim as they block Congressional legislation designed to combat climate change. Many of them come from the Republican Party and the right-wing media.

Sachs pointed out how these doubters have been able to seize on the uncertain impact of global warming to spread disinformation. “This is a severe problem” and “so far we’re a bit paralyzed,” he said.

As to why they attack the science of global warming, he said he didn’t know. “The Wall Street Journal may to it for a gain,” he said. “Or they may do it for different reasons.”

Nonetheless, the problem is severe. Some scientists argue a new geological age has come about bringing to an end the age of agriculture and industry. This new period is defined by man overwhelming the earth’s ecosystem.

Through the destruction of habitat, natural water flows and the atmosphere, as a result of carbon loading, the planet faces dramatic changes, he said. Arresting them could be the most significant challenge facing the world over the next four decades.

This is doubly true with the political system seemingly incapable of doing anything, he said.


Wall Street Journal See Global Warming Conspiracy

February 16, 2010

The right wing has been leading a double-barrel attack against global warming recently. But rarely has a big name publication such as The Wall Street Journal weighed in with such unguarded conviction of a United Nation’s conspiracy to promote climate change science.

The right has made hay with the theft of e-mails from the climate research unit of Britain’s University of East Anglia. Glaciers are melting around the world, including in the Himalayas, polar ice is disappearing and records show a slow rise in world temperatures.

Yet, right wingnuts take exception with an overly aggressive Himalayan glacier melting forecast, mistaken citations in predictions of an Amazon drought and claims of the selective use of a British scientist’s study claiming billions of people could be without water by 2085. All these failings wre in the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, drawn up by many of the world’s foremost scientists.

Other wingnuts take aim at temperature collection sites, claiming some are too near man-built plants and facilities to be accurate.

The Wall Street Journal topped these assertions on Tuesday with an editorial claiming “now we are discovering the U.N. reports are sloppy political documents intended to drive the climate lobby’s regulatory agenda.”

Apparently, the United Nations is in bed with the world’s top scientists, Al Gore, Barack Obama and many top energy and technology companies around the world trying to impose unnecessary regulation on the newspaper and its conservative friends.

What will they think of next?


MIT Study Finds Support For Global Treaty On Climate Change

February 8, 2010

Several recent surveys question America’s commitment to reversing global warming.

A greater number of people have been found skeptical of the scientific evidence that greenhouse gases are warming the earth, despite the overwhelming support for the theory from the scientific community.

A just published MIT study tells something of a different story. The survey finds 50 percent of Americans back the nation’s participation in a global treaty combating climate change.

And 60 percent of those contacted for the 2009 poll say the federal government should be doing more to turn back the accumulation of the gases, such as CO2 and methane. This was down from a similar study in 2006. But it is still a significant majority.

Like the earlier studies, the MIT survey discovered that Americans are less convinced urgent action is necessary. Only 23 percent of people backed immediate action, compared with 28 percent in 2006. But the call for quick action was up from 17 percent in 2003.

While the survey confirmed the new wave of doubt in the nation (the misinterpretation of the leaked University of East Anglia e-mail and the prevalence of Fox News the likely explanations) it also suggests that Americans continue to view global warming as a matter that must be addressed. Just not as urgently as the economy.

Source: MIT


A National Smart Grid Will Be Key 21 Century Accomplishment, Gore Says

November 19, 2009

If the construction of the nation’s electrical system was one of the significant achievements of the 20th Century, then its transformation into an intelligent two-way infrastructure will be a top accomplishment of the 21st, climate crusader Al Gore said Thursday.

An intelligent energy grid will give the U.S. economy a competitive advantage, says Al Gore

The transformation of the electrical grid to handle the intermittent, unsteady output of renewable energy and to give consumers more control over energy use will be a milestone in the fight against global warming, the former vice president said.

It also will give the nation’s economy a competitive edge at a time when other countries are rapidly building smart grids of their own, Gore said at a Silicon Valley conference.

“Our current infrastructure is obsolete, outmoded,” he said. “Having a highly developed smart grid is going to be a competitive advantage.”

Gore’s comments come as the world prepares for the United Nations climate talks in Copenhagen next month, and as a small bipartisan group of senators make a last ditch effort to reach an agreement on a cap-and-trade bill before the talks begin. Gore, who said he supports Congress’ cap-and-trade legislation, noted that the necessity of global action on greenhouse gases is increasing.

Every day the world spews 90 million tons of CO2 into the atmosphere, leading to the further melting of polar ice and warming the world.

But he said at the GreenBeat 2009 conference there is reason for hope. A consensus is growing that fixing global warming will help  the economy and enhance national security.

But that consensus is arriving none too soon. In China, the nation has embarked on building a new super 800 kV grid that will connect the entire country. Western Europe also has efforts underway to link its grid with the potential solar-producing regions of the Sahara and to northwest Africa where the winds lend themselves to energy production.

Australia and India, too, are considering links to potential solar-producing regions within their borders.

Putting America on the path to a smart grid will be “one of the most significant achievements of the 21st Century,” Gore said.


California Is The Top State In Energy Efficiency Wyoming The Worst

November 11, 2009

California is the top state in requiring energy efficiency in buildings and power consumption, followed by Massachusetts, Connecticut, Oregon and New York

On the bottom of the list are Wyoming (the worst of the worst), North Dakota and Mississippi (only slightly better than Wyoming) Alabama, Nebraska, West Virginia and Alaska and Georgia. Next in line are Arkansas, Missouri and Louisiana.

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States making the biggest improvements were Maine, Colorado and Delaware

This according to the American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, which released a state-by-state scorecard. The rankings are based an analysis of building codes, government initiatives, appliance efficiency standards, utility programs and transportation policies.

According to the analysis, the states making the biggest gains in the past year were Maine, Colorado, Delaware, South Dakota, Tennessee and the District of Columbia.

In Delaware, new legislation requires the state to reduce energy consumption through efficiency 15 percent by 2015. Included in the effort are new building codes that make it easier to adopt solar and wind power by allowing people and businesses to sell excess power back to the grid.

Investments in energy efficiency create jobs and steer dollars away from wasted energy to more constructive uses, says Governor Jack Markell.

What I want to know is why so many southern states are at the bottom of the list when air conditioning is such a sizeable chunk of their energy bills? Is global warming not happening down there?


Saving The World From Global Warming Will Cost $10.5 Trillion

November 10, 2009

A sobering energy report from the International Energy Agency predicts that saving the world from global warming will cost $10.5 trillion.

The surprisingly daunting and closely watched IEA’s World Energy Outlook is especially timely this year, coming out Tuesday, just before the start of the Copenhagen climate talks next month.

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Goal is to keep temperatures to 2 degree Celsius above pre industrial levels

It forecasts that energy consumption will fall in 2009 due to the worldwide recession. But demand for power will shortly reverse course and begin to climb again, jumping 40 percent by 2030.

More so, “current trends in energy use puts the world on track for a rise in temperature of up to 6 degrees Centigrade and poses a serious threat to global energy security,” the report states. Climate scientists have already warned that a smaller rise than this might bring about irreversible planetary changes.

The study claims that China and India are expected to account for more than half of the projected increase in energy demand over the next 20 years. By 2025, China will overtake the United States as biggest spender on oil and gas imports.

The world’s response must be aggressive and committed to heading off an environmental disaster. The study proposes limiting greenhouse gases to 450 parts per million or less, which would keep temperatures about 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. To accomplish this, fossil fuel demand will need to peak in 2020 and by 2030 greenhouse gas emission will need to fall below 2007 levels.

Energy efficiency will be the largest contributor to this goal. Half of emissions cuts can come from making homes, businesses, cars and other devices more efficient.

Low carbon energy sources also play a part and must account for 60 percent of energy production, Renewables are to contribute 37 percent; nuclear, 18 percent; and carbon capture, 5 percent. Hybrids and electric vehicles must make up 60 percent of sales by 2030, a dramatic rise from 1 percent today.

All this will cost $10.5 trillion, the IEA says, with some of the expense coming in the form of a payback – an $8.6 trillion reduction in energy bills.

Yikes!

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Source: International Energy Agency


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