Debt-Free Garmin Could Buy TomTom Cash; But Should Sale Nüvifone To Asus

February 24, 2009
Garmin should leave the smartphone market before it's too late. It's upcoming M20 GPS phone will be made by Asus

Garmin should leave the smartphone market before it's too late. It's upcoming M20 GPS phone will be made by Asus

Unlike rival TomTom, Garmin‘s finance is healthy and sound despite the faltering economy.

The debt-free U.S.-based GPS maker could even buy the Dutch company… cash!

TomTom is currently valued at approximately $543 million. And that’s even after last year’s $3.7 billion acquisition of map maker Tele Atlas!

On the other hand, Garmin boasts $697 million in cash at the end of last quarter.

Yesterday the Kansas-based company posted total revenue of $3.49 billion for 2008 – up 10% from $3.18 billion in 2007 – and profits of $732 million. Last year, Garmin sold 16.9 million units, an increase of 38% from 2007, versus 12 millions for TomTom.

Garmin should get rid of its GPS smartphone

Despite heavy competition, the GPS maker still plans to launch its line of GPS smartphone dubbed “Nüvifone” during the first half of 2009.

The G60 model will be co-branded Garmin‐Asus following an alliance with the Taiwanese company known for its EeePC netbooks.

Garmin will also release the M20, a Windows Mobile‐based smartphone with some unique LBS (location-based services) applications and functionality.


Mobile World Congress Opens In Smartphone Fanfare

February 16, 2009

The Mobile World Congress just opened this morning (Europe time) in Barcelona, Spain, and the mood is still upbeat despite the recession.

Nokia, HTC and many other mobile vendors were inviting loads of reporters/bloggers to the event, all expenses paid of course!

The GSM Association which organizes the yearly event expects over 1,200 companies to show off their new wares in the Catalan capital and more than 60,000 attendees.

Smartphones: the bright spot in a declining mobile phone market

A slew of smartphones make up the main attraction of this year’s show. Gartner expects the smartphone category to grow 32% this year despite a 4% to 5% drop of the overall mobile phone devices market in 2009; the first in 10 years!

Here are some of the smartphones unveiled at the show: Sony Ericsson’s Symbian-based 10-megapixels prototype Idou; Acer’s first ever touchscreen smartphones; GPS smartphones from Garmin (Nuvifone) and Inventec; Toshiba TG01; HTC Touch Diamond 2 and Touch Pro 2; LG Arena; Nokia’s E75 and solar panel phones from LG and Samsung.

No words yet on Dell’s eventual entry in the smartphone business.


Garmin RoundUp: Advertising Strategy; Rise Of The U.S. Market; Tele Atlas $1B Bluff; Mio Stuff-And-Go Strategy And The nüvifone

November 12, 2008

Garmin's shipping department uses black shrinkwrap to prevent thefts

Garmin's shipping department uses black shrink wrap to prevent theft

Here are some random thoughts gathered during my short visit at Garmin’s headquarters in Olathe, Kansas.

A retailer focus advertising strategy

The world’s leading GPS maker invests approximately 6% of its sales revenues in advertising, mostly in traditional retailers “co-op” ads. Although Garmin’s advertising budget as a percentage of sales keeps going down, the overall ad spent keeps going up. “It’s very important to keep a very strong advertising presence when a customer is ready to make that purchasing decision. When they’re in the buying environment”, said John Cassat, Garmin’s VP of Communications. If anything, the GPS maker intends to actually pour money into those “co-op” deals with retailers so they can promote Garmin’s products during this critical holiday season

The rise of the U.S. GPS market

The U.S. market for GPS devices or personal navigation devices (PNDs) is still growing at a rate of 80% per year, versus around 20% or less in Europe. If the growth persists, Garmin expects the U.S. market to be as large as the European market. Although the GPS maker didn’t says when but analysts suspect that this could come as early as next year.

The $1 billion Tele Atlas “bluff”

Last year, GPS maker TomTom went on a bidding war with Garmin to acquire map maker Tele Atlas. Although Garmin said it was never interested in buying Tele Atlas, it antes TomTom’s offer forcing the Dutch company to spend $1 billion more than expected to get Tele Atlas. Today, TomTom is in dire straits having to deal with a debt load of about… $1 billion!

Mio’s Stuff and Go strategy

According to Garmin’s VP of Worldwide Sales, Dan Bartel, Mio’s strategy is to come in strong during certain periods of the year, like the holiday season, “stuff” the channel with very cheap GPS devices and go! A strategy that leave some customers unhappy, not wanting to deal with another GPS device anymore. “And they are lost for everyone,” added Bartel.

Garmin has low expectations for its GPS smartphone, the nüvifone

I’ve wrote earlier here why I thought the nüvifone will not be a successful smartphone compare to let say, an iPhone, a Blackberry or even a Palm Treo/Centro. But after talking to the Garmin folks about it, I realise the GPS company has very little sales expectation for the upcoming nüvifone. Actually if Garmin can sale 1 million of these smartphone GPS, it might look small compare to the other competitive phones but quite a lot compare to Garmin GPS devices. So with such low expectations, the nüvifone might actually see the light of day and stay on Garmin’s books longer than I thought. Still, I think with technology improvement, the next generation smartphones from the large phone makers could match the nüvifone’s navigation and location-based functionalities.


Garmin To Launch GPS Smartphone Next Februrary; Likely To Fail

November 11, 2008

Garmin's GPS smartphoneI’m here in rainy/cold Olathe, Kansas, visiting Garmin, the world’s largest GPS device manufacturer.

Last January, Garmin unveiled the nüvifone, a GPS with a 3.5G smartphone inside that looks like an iPhone or Blackberry Bold with a touchscreen, WiFi and a built-in video camera.

The nüvifone was supposed to launch this Fall but Garmin could not convince on time a wireless carrier to carry the GPS smartphone, which is why the nüvifone will eventually be part of this category of mobile device that at first sounded like a great idea but that eventually failed.

Can anyone remember General Magic?

Garmin now plans to officially launch the nüvifone at the Mobile World Congress, next February in Barcelona, Spain.

“We’ve entered wireless carriers labs for testing… The personal navigation devices market will be compromise by mobile phones”, admitted Jon Cassat.

But I’m skeptical the nüvifone will ever see the light of day and my guess is that the company might just scrap the project before then. And here’s why:

  1. All U.S. wireless carriers, even Sprint, have a “killer” smartphone. So I doubt they really want/need another device to subsidize/qualify/support. Also, for reasons detailed below (competition and price), the nüvifone will not be a volume device and will not attract large wireless carrier;
  2. The new smartphones from Apple, RIM, Samsung, Motorola and LG are all GPS capable and can run more or less the same navigation software than a Garmin device. So a GPS that is phone capable is a too little of a real distinction to really matter;
  3. And did I mention the economy? The nüvifone is going to be a pricey device and in this economy with wireless carriers not willing to subsidize yet another “niche” smartphone. So without a subsidy, the nüvifone is almost dead on arrival.

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