Intel Sees Signs Of A Bottom In The PC Market Slide

April 14, 2009

Wall Street shrugged off Intel’s first-quarter results because of its lackluster forecast for revenue and margins to be flat in the second quarter.

Server chip sales have held up well, says Intel

Server chip sales have held up well, says Intel

But Intel offered some good news Tuesday that investors and the industry shouldn’t ignore. It said it sees an end to the slide in the personal computer market – with factory volume perhaps returning to normal by the end of the year.

“We are seeing signs that a bottom in the PC market has been reach,” said CEO Paul Otellini on a conference call. “I believe the worst is behind us” in terms of rising inventories.

Otellini’s upbeat outlook is not a stretch given the present state of the economy. In recent weeks, early signs of stability have been reported in industries as varied as retailing, automotive manufacturing, even home building.

Otellini said that while business purchases remain weak, consumer buying as rebounded and the strength of demand increases as the first quarter progressed.
By the end of the quarter, Intel’s factories were humming at faster than anticipated pace, and by the end of the year, typical seasonal patterns may return to the market, he said, referring to the back-to-school and holiday buying periods.

In fact, the company worries it may not have enough manufacturing capacity come December. What a change a couple months make.


PC Market Collapsed In The Fourth Quarter As The Economy Squelched Sales

January 14, 2009

Despite an anticipated pickup from holiday buying, the personal computer market collapsed in the fourth quarter, IDC said Wednesday.

Shipments fell 0.4 percent ending six years of growth, the last five with average increases of 15 percent.

Popular low-cost netbooks and vendor discounting weren’t enough to overcome a deteriorating economy, IDC said.

Notebook growth was almost cut in half from earlier this year to nearly 20% and the number of desktop PCs shipped fell roughly 16% from last year.

Mini notebooks did relatively well, accounting for 5 million units and bringing the total for 2008 to 10 million, or about 7 percent of portables.

“The market has taken a serious hit and the competitive environment along with a race to low-cost portables could easily undermine profits from mobile computing,” said Program Director Loren Loverde. “I won’t be surprised if recovery gets pushed further in 2010 as this crisis unfolds.”

Leading PC vendors by market share in the fourth quarter

Leading PC vendors by market share in the fourth quarter


Acer Closing In On Dell In The PC Market As Apple Slips

December 23, 2008

Capitalizing on the consumer interest in cheap laptops, or netbooks, Acer outgrew many of its peers in the third quarter and closed in on Dell for the number two slot in the PC market.

Netbooks helped fuel Acers growth

Netbooks helped fuel Acer's growth

In the loss column, Apple’s market share slipped almost half a point. The company held 3.2 percent of the global market at quarter’s end, according to iSuppli.

Acer’s shipments in the quarter rose 79 percent to 9.7 million, with 3 million of them notebooks, iSuppli said. The majority of the notebooks, were netbooks.

That left Acer trailing Dell by less than 2 percentage points and claiming 12.2 percent of the market. Dell held onto a 13.9 share, with 11 million shipments. Hewlett-Packard is the number one PC maker.

ISuupli sees 4.3 percent growth in the PC market next year.


H-P Not Seeing What Intel Is Seeing (In The PC Market)

November 24, 2008

The slowdown in personal computer sales that forced Intel to cut its sales outlook is not showing up in Hewlett-Packard’s business, CEO Mark Hurd said Monday.

H-Ps notebook sales rose 21 percent

H-P's notebook sales rose 21 percent

“We saw some things that were just different in our numbers,” H-P chief Hurd said on an earning conference call.

The company’s fiscal fourth-quarter PC sales grew 10 percent while shipments were up 19 percent. Notebooks revenue expanded a strong 21 percent, compensating for desktop sales that fell 2 percent.

In terms of pricing, “we didn’t see extraordinary changes” in the market place, Hurd said.

Intel earlier this month slashed its financial outlook for the remainder of the year citing significantly weaker demand in all its markets around the world.

“We are aware of what they are seeing and what Microsoft is seeing,” Hurd said. He argued H-P was bucking the trend and gaining share.


IDC Reins In Forecast For US PC Sales To 7.7%; Sees Decline In Expectations From Two Months Ago

October 24, 2008

Expect a “rocky” fourth quarter in PC sales. This is the message from the research firm IDC.

The PC monitor cut its forecast for the holiday period to 7.69 percent growth in the U.S. market. That is down from 10.2 percent two months ago.

The downturn is leading consumers to pull back their spending plans, IDC said. This caution could lead to a weak 2009 and a recovery in 2010.

Spending on desktop machines should be down 12 percent in the three months while laptop sales should be up 22.6 percent. (Low-cost “netbook” laptops appear to be among the hottest category these days.)

One more thing: look for consolidation i the PC space, IDC said.


Fast-Growing Low-Cost Netbook Laptops Transforming PC Market, Microsoft Says

October 23, 2008
Netbooks are attracting buyers with low prices

Netbooks are attracting buyers with low prices

They are portable, they cost $300 to $400 and their fast growth is changing the face of personal computing, says PC software king Microsoft.

Netbooks, or low-end notebooks, were the highlight of the third quarter. In an otherwise slow market, sales were strong. And that is likely to continue, Microsoft CFO Chris Liddell said Thursday.

They make for “a more interesting market” because now significant differences have emerged in what full-priced business customers and budget conscious consumers look for in a computer, he said. But “it becomes a lot more complicated from a forecasting point of view.”

That’s because it is hard to know whether netbook sales expand the market by attracting more price-sensitive buyers or are made in lieu of otherwise more expensive computers.

“That’s the phenomenon I don’t think any of us know at this stage,” Liddell told analysts on a first-quarter earnings call.

Nevertheless, they are helping to prop up market growth rates during tough economic times. Microsoft projects PC sales will be up 10 percent to 12 percent in the December quarter, about the same pace as the September quarter. For Microsoft’s full fiscal year ending in June, they should be up 8 percent to 12 percent, the company said, held back by the slow economy.

For consumers, the netbook trend is good news. Computers are available for less. For Microsoft, they represent a challenge. Netbooks ship with a lower priced copy of Windows, potentially cutting software margins at the company.


Low Cost Notebooks Catch Fire In The Market; Help Buoy PC Sales Despite Downturn

October 15, 2008
Cheap notebooks selling well
Cheap notebooks selling well

The economic pullback cut into PC sales in the third quarter. But the recent spread of low cost notebooks helped keep a bad situation from getting worse.

IDC said worldwide sales rose 15.8 percent in the period, just shy of the research firm’s 15.9 percent forecast. The outlook matched the one Gartner released yesterday.

“The proliferation of low-cost portable PCs coincided perfectly with market conditions,” said research analyst Jay Chou.

The firm expects the financial woes to affect buying during the holiday period.


PC Market Shows Impact Of Global Economic Turmoil, But Sales Still Up 15%

October 14, 2008
PC Sales Under Stress
PC Sales Under Stress

Third-quarter PC sales begun to show the impact of the global economic slowdown and the financial turmoil affecting countries around the world.

The corporate market in the U.S. saw the biggest hit, Gartner said Tuesday. The U.S. home market also was soft, while the Asian Pacific market suffered because of a slowdown in China.

Overall, the PC market grew a respectable 15 percent in the third quarter, but the U.S. market inched up only 4.6 percent, Gartner said.

Hewlett-Packard retained the crown as the largest PC vendor followed by Dell.


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