Third Monthly Gain For Chip Market Reported

July 3, 2009

Unemployment continues to be intractably high. But chips are selling.

The Semiconductor Industry Association reported Friday the third month of improving chip sales driven by a solid rebound in the Asia-Pacific market.

Monthly chip sales rose 5.4 percent

Monthly chip sales rose 5.4 percent

Global sales rose 5.4 percent in May from April to $15.6 billion, the trade group said.

Granted, business is still down 23.2 percent from a year ago. But the rise suggests a steadily improving market and lifts hopes that end-of-year activity could show seasonal strength from the holidays.

The monthly increase in Asia-Pacific sales was 6.7 percent while in the Americas it was 3.9 percent.

The true test may not come for the market until late summer when companies decide how much product to build for the Christmas holidays.


Chip Sales Expected To Fall By 7% In 2009

January 12, 2009

Unemployment and falling demand are creating a perfect storm for semiconductor manufacturers in 2009, raising the likelihood of a contraction in sales, according to a forecast from VLSI Research.

Chip equipment market also headed toward bad times

Chip equipment market also headed toward bad times

The firm expects sales to fall 7 percent this year to $210 billion with the growth in units of just 2 percent. Unit growth was an estimated 9 percent in 2008.

Behind the soft market is the high probability worldwide electronics sales will be lower this year than last, said VLSI, creating sluggish demand for chips that power the consumer and business devices.

Chip makers should be able to supply this soften demand with products from inventory, in turn lowering the utilization rate of production equipment to the low 80 percent range.

That will pressure equipment makers and lower equipment sales fall by 25 percent to $33 billion.

Through the year, the glut of memory chips will continue keeping prices down.


Analyst Sees Possibility Of Rebound In Semiconductor Market In Second Half Of 2009

December 24, 2008

Advising investors to build positions in semiconductor stocks, American Technology analyst Doug Freedman said he saw the possibility of a “snap-back” in revenue growth in the second half of next year.

Track of Intel shares since August

Trading in Intel shares since August

In a note released Wednesday, Freedman said the slowing in the chip market seemed to be due to a “supply-chain oscillation,” as manufacturers and distributors reduced their inventories of chips in anticipation of lower demand.

“The potential for simultaneous inventory replenishment and return of demand could provide a steep ‘double-whammy’ snap-back,” he wrote.

There is the possibility of a long, deep recovery – though the bad news could continue from the industry in early 2009, he said. “We continue to look for incrementally better data points that could provide signs of the magnitude of the snap back.”


Chip Market Double Whammy: Bellwethers Intel And Applied Materials See Weakening Markets: Intel’s Quarterly Sales Fall Way Short; Applied Triggers Layoffs

November 12, 2008

This year’s volatile downturn in the world’s semiconductor markets appears to have deepened.

Bellwethers Intel and Applied Materials projected on Tuesday deep slumps in sales and orders, and Applied, indicating there is no time to wait, triggered a layoff of 12 percent of its work force.

It is unknown how deep the setback will go, says George Davis

It is unknown how deep the setback will go, says George Davis

The dual dose of bad news came as the financial markets plummeted again with the Dow Jones Industrial Average off 411.30 points and the tech-heavy Nasdaq down a comparatively greater 81.69 points. The watch word in technology markets was uncertainty.

“It’s really not known how deep this economic setback will go,” said Applied CFO George Davis on a conference call with analysts.

In a press release, Intel said fourth-quarter sales would be $900 billion, plus or minus $300 million, or well short of the $10.1 billion to $10.9 billion the chip maker projected last month.

Demand weakened in all geographies and all markets, the company said. Intel plans to lower spending modestly in the quarter to $2.8 billion from $2.9 billion.

Applied rejected such tepid measures. The supplier of manufacturing equipment to semiconductor makers said it would restructure operations in the present quarter by cutting 1,800 jobs, or 12 percent of workers, and slashing annual expenses by $400 million.

There has been a “rapid slowdown at many of our customers,” Davis said. Applied, which reported steady fourth-quarter results on Tuesday, said first quarter products orders are expected to fall a substantial 30 percent and revenue will decrease 25 percent to 35 percent.

Just as significantly, the company backed away from previous claims its emerging solar business would reach breakeven in 2009. “We’ll have to see how demand plays out,” Davis said.

It also showed a hesitancy toward acquisitions during the downturn. “I thinkn we will say no more often than we say yes,” said CEO Michael Splinter.


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