Venture Capital Clean Tech Love Affair Is Maturing

February 8, 2010

U.S. venture firms are taking a more circumspect view of clean-tech investing. Less flash, more focus on profits.

That could lead to more start-ups trying to build businesses with less money.

According to a recent survey, substantial sums of money continue to flow into the industry. Ernst & Young reported Monday that $2.6 billion went into clean-tech start-ups last year, a noticeably more optimistic assessment than last month’s MoneyTree survey, which posted a figure of $1.9 billion. The higher sum suggests VCs were significantly more active last year than may have been thought.

The E&Y work also uncovered a second detail that didn’t show up in the MoneyTree study – which was conducted by PricewaterhouseCoopers, the National Venture Capital Association and Thomson Reuters.  While investment dollars fell 45 percent in the fourth quarter, the number of deals were up – 21 percent to 62. More deals, smaller sums of money per company, more room for profits.

The MoneyTree work found that the number of deals in the quarter fell to 47 and that overall dollars declined 58 percent.

It is hard to know which of the surveys is more accurate. But the prospect of venture capitalists funding more companies at lower dollar values is interesting to contemplate. It suggests funds are seeing clean-tech investing more like they see information-technology investing: put a little money in, expect a lot back.  This prospect may encourage more VCs to take part.

Of course the shift to small deals is due in substantial part to the maturing of solar start-ups. In recent years, these companies needed large sums of money for manufacturing plants, and VCs were eager to provide them. That cycle is winding down. New solar ventures still get money, but in small allotments to explore new technologies.

At the same time, venture interest in clean tech has shifted to energy efficiency. It is here that small investment sums can start companies eager to develop, for example, software for energy management.

In the fourth quarter, energy efficiency received more money than any other category of clean-tech investing: $253 million. That total was inflated by the $105 million investment in smart meter maker Silver Spring Network. By even without Silver Spring, 21 deals were done, about a third of the total.

As venture capitalists look toward 2010, expect to see more funds using the game plan of the past. Dole out money slowly. Spread it around. Find ways to make each dollar go further.


Israel Is Do Or Die Test For Better Place

February 8, 2010

The high profile electric car experiment Batter Place made a big deal this weekend of the ceremonial opening of its demonstration center in Israel.

Better Place opened a demonstration center in Israel in an old oil tank

“We come another step closer to realizing the vision of sustainable electric transportation,” said Moshe Kaplinsky, CEO of the company’s Israel division.

He was wrong. The important step for the company will come late next year when it kicks off commercial operations in the small Mediterranean nation, its first market.

The demonstration center tells the story of how Better Place works. The company is essentially a power broker, selling electricity to people who plug their cars into charging stations and swapping depleted car batteries for fresh ones at changing stations.

This weekend’s most critical news was that the company has signed up 92 corporate fleets in Israel – including Motorola and Computer Associates and struck what it said was its first deal with a gas station operator for charging stations.

The fleet owners promise to buy some vehicles from Better Place partner Renault – which will begin shipping 1,000 cars a month into Israel in the second half of 2011.

The gas station operator, Dor Alon, became the first to agreed to construct battery-switching stations at its facilities in the country. Better Place expects more deals with gas station operators.

The Israel test is perhaps the best chance for the California start-up, which last month raised $350 million in funds. Israel is tiny, making electric cars with their limited driving range more practical. Running out of juice is more difficult when distances are short. What’s more, big corporate fleets make up about half the cars on the roads. These big vehicle operators will make managing the cars easier.

All this makes Israel a must-do for the company. If the system doesn’t work smoothly there, it will have greater difficulties in Denmark, California and Japan, markets that are next in Better Place’s sights.

Israel is indeed a demonstration center and Better Place must perform.


MIT Study Finds Support For Global Treaty On Climate Change

February 8, 2010

Several recent surveys question America’s commitment to reversing global warming.

A greater number of people have been found skeptical of the scientific evidence that greenhouse gases are warming the earth, despite the overwhelming support for the theory from the scientific community.

A just published MIT study tells something of a different story. The survey finds 50 percent of Americans back the nation’s participation in a global treaty combating climate change.

And 60 percent of those contacted for the 2009 poll say the federal government should be doing more to turn back the accumulation of the gases, such as CO2 and methane. This was down from a similar study in 2006. But it is still a significant majority.

Like the earlier studies, the MIT survey discovered that Americans are less convinced urgent action is necessary. Only 23 percent of people backed immediate action, compared with 28 percent in 2006. But the call for quick action was up from 17 percent in 2003.

While the survey confirmed the new wave of doubt in the nation (the misinterpretation of the leaked University of East Anglia e-mail and the prevalence of Fox News the likely explanations) it also suggests that Americans continue to view global warming as a matter that must be addressed. Just not as urgently as the economy.

Source: MIT


Consumers Not Ready To Buy Green, Unless It Saves Money

February 5, 2010

Buying green is wonderful on paper. But unless it saves money, the American public isn’t ready to fork over its paper currency.

This is due in part to a lingering skepticism over global warming, despite overwhelming scientific evidence supporting the planet’s growing peril. It also is the result of an unwillingness to associate global problems with local decisions, such as the purchase of plastic picnic ware.

For most consumers, “it’s not about saving the world,” says Scott Potter, a venture capital at San Francisco Equity Partners. “That’s for only 2 percent of the population.”

Most consumers aren't interested in saving the world with their purchases, says venture capitalist Scott Potter. Only about 2% are.

As scientists and well-meaning politicians urge the nation to become more environmentally conscious, the barrier to greater action becomes clearer each day. Living a greener life has got to go hand-in-hand with the simpler, more base motivation of financial benefit.

In other words, solar power, wind energy, electric cars and green consumer goods have to be less expensive to be popular. This conclusion was at the heart of SDForum’s “Consumer Clean Tech Trends” panel discussion Thursday evening in Silicon Valley. The evidence was overwhelming.

Look at utility customers across the country, insisted Jan Pepper, assistant general manager of energy resource planning at Alameda Municipal Power. Only about 2 percent of them are paying a premium for power derived from renewable sources.

“I don’t think people are willing to pay more for green,” she said.

The same is true with carbon offsets, which were hit hard during the recession. Provider TerraPass participates in expensive projects to recover methane from cow manure at dairy farms and landfills. Methane, a greenhouse gas, is much more damaging than CO2 but difficult to collect.

"I don't think people are willing to pay more for green," says Jan Pepper, an assistant general manager at Alameda Municipal Power.

“There is a very small number of people willing to do the right thing” and support the projects, says Pete Davies, TerraPass president. “It’s not a very big market.”

The reluctance to pay for green is apparent at retail as well. During the downturn, premium brands languished on store shelves, and green is considered a premium item. Whether soap or bleach, basic functionality drove purchase decisions, not global benefits.

At the same time, a basic level of “greenness” is being built into mainstream products from big producers, such as Procter & Gamble. “I don’t think you’re going to be on the shelf if you’re not green” in the future, says Potter. But of course that means buying decisions will be made on grounds other than green if it becomes the standard.

Perhaps the solution is to challenge people on the local level, where comparisons are easy to make, says investor Tod Francis of Shasta Ventures. There is no more powerful an incentive for urging people to make energy conservation improvements at home than knowing their neighbors are paying less, says Francis.

But then than means everything still to come down to dollars and cents.


Dire Outlook For Green Jobs Without Targets For Renewables

February 5, 2010

A new study of green jobs paints a dire outlook for U.S. employment if the nation fails to adopt aggressive targets for renewable energy use.

The study by the RES-Alliance for Jobs has a natural bias. The organization is funded by wind, solar, and other renewable energy companies and associations, which would stand to benefit from such goals.

But its stark assessment raises a terrifying question: what if it’s right? The study argues that 37 countries around the world have adopted goals for alternatives energy and will be the likely spots for new plants, companies and projects. This includes China and the members of the European Union.

In contrast, many states in the U.S. will shed green jobs without appropriate nationwide goals, it claims. The study, released Thursday, projects the nation will create 67,000 new jobs if it adopts a 12 percent renewables target for 2014 and 274,000 jobs if the target is raised to 25 percent by 2025.

The breakdown of new jobs by industry follows: 116,000, wind; 60,000, biofuels; 50,000, solar; 34,000, hydropower; and 15,000, waste to energy.

The states with the most jobs to gain are Pennsylvania, Florida, Colorado and California. Midwest and Mid Atlantic states will benefit to a lesser degree, as will Texas, Oregon and Washington.

Biofuels in particular would generate jobs in Florida and Louisiana. Wind energy will be a significant employer across the Great Plains and Midwest.

Without use targets, which the study claims are more effective than the tax credits the country is relying on today, many states will shed green jobs, including Texas, Ohio, Indiana and a number of states across the Great Plains. Let’s hope this doesn’t happen.

The nation will create green jobs if renewables targets are put into place. The darker the color, the more jobs. (Source: RES Alliance for Jobs)


California Expects to Have 17 Million Smart Meters In Place By 2012

February 4, 2010

California continues to expect 17 million smart meters to be installed across the state by 2012, despite complaints by some residents about higher electric bills and electromagnetic radiation.

By 2011, the meters will provide energy use data in real time, and, this year, data can be transmited to monitoring services, says CPUC's Aloke Gupta.

Twelve million of them will be electric meters and 5 million will be gas, said Aloke Gupta, senior energy analyst at the California Public Utilities Commission.

The smart meter rollout is part of a $4.6 billion state project designed to bring new capabilities and flexibility to the electric grid. Adding these features will be especially important if electric cars catch on in the state and the electricity demand grows from daily car recharging.

But in the past several months, some residents have complained of bills that increased after the meters were installed. A suit is already pending against utility PG&E. Others worried aloud at public hearings that the meters gave off electromagnetic radiation.

The meters are hoped to let residents better manage the energy use. By 2011, they will provide energy use data in real time, instead of after the present 24-hour delay, Gupta said at the Grid ComForum in Silicon Valley. By the end of this year, they will be able to transmit data to third party companies providing energy monitoring and conservation services.

All three of the state’s large utilities are involved to varying degrees. PG&E is to install 10 million meters and claims it now oversees the largest smart meter deployment in the world. Its network, however, is likely to become eclipsed in the next several years by China, which wants to install up to 40 million meters annually.

The meters, being made by GE and Landis+Gyr, with networks provided by Silver Spring Networks, have transmitters that can communicate not just with utilitie but to appliances inside a home. The “radio” into the home is not yet activated yet, says Kenneth Abreu, principal resource analyst at PG&E. It will be in a year or two, he says.


Plug In Hybrid To Have a 1,000 Mile Range, Velozzi Says

February 4, 2010

Velozzi's plug-in hybrid sports car and sedan, pictued above, will use diesel-powered microturbines to recharge their batteries

Secretive boutique electric car designer Velozzi said Thursday it plans a high-end plug-in electric hybrid with a driving range of up to 1,000 miles.

The Los Angeles company that intends to begin shipping cars late this year says the extended driving range will come from a diesel-powered microturbine designed to switch on when the lithium ion batteries need charging.

The news was released in a press statement announcing the company’s decision to use microturbines from Capstone Turbine. The deal is Capstone’s first with a carmaker.

The projected driving range is unusually long for an electric car and could prove a selling point for Velozzi. Many plug-in hybrids anticipate ranges of several hundred miles, and many all-electrics expect less than 100.

Velozzi plans two vehicles, a high-performance sports car and a lower-priced mass-market model. Both will be constructed with carbon-fiber nano tubes to reduce weight.

The sports car will come with a 770 horsepower electric motor, reach 60 mph in 3 seconds and be outfitted with a 65-kolowatt microturbine. Batteries will take the car 200 miles before the turbine kicks in. The car is to reach the market this year.

The Solo, which the company describes as a crossover vehicle, will have a 30-kilowatt turbine. That suggests a reduced driving range. It is to ship in 2011.

No prices for the cars have been released. However, estimates suggest a $100,000 sticker for the sports car, comparable to Tesla’s Roadster. The Solo is expected to be closer to $35,000.


Recharging An Electric Car Is Like Powering A House On A Summer Day

February 3, 2010

First generation electric cars and plug-in hybrids will begin to reach the market this year and next. Demand for these low-pollution vehicles could be strong, especially in environmentally conscious states, such as California.

Managing the charging of electric vehicles with a smart grid is the perfect intersection pf technology and energy, says PG&E's Saul Zambrano

But there are real concerns about the ability of the electric grid to handle all these rechargeable cars and trucks. Their demand for electricity is considerable in a nation with little excess generating capacity and a grid only starting to become intelligent.

An electric car adds to a utility’s network the equivalent of a house on a summer day with its air conditioning running,” says Saul Zambrano, director of core products at PG&E. It is a sizeable load.

Zambrano is convinced PG&E will be able to handle the demand. “This is a priority item for us,” he said Tuesday at the Grid ComForum in Silicon Valley. But it won’t be easy – and California is likely to be a test bed for the nation.

Estimates suggest about a quarter of the new electrics will be bought by California drivers, with many in PG&E’s coverage area. It is an obvious business opportunity for the utility. With juice flowing at 120 volts/6 amps, an electric car will recharge in 12 hours. Increase that to 240 volts/30 amps, the recharging window closes to 4 hours.

“We actually want a 4-hour window,” he says. That will allow the utility to better manage power needs in the evening and through the night when cars are most likely to be plugged in.

But handling the load will be challenging. The utility is set to begin a critical pilot project this year to help it settle on management software, home charging stations and in-vehicle control systems. There are a lot of unknowns and details to be worked out.

“This is the perfect intersection of technology and energy,” says Zambrano. “The next decade is going to be exciting.”


Europe Added More Wind Energy In 2009 Than Other Energy Technologies

February 3, 2010

Europe cozied up to wind energy again last year, installing more of it than any other energy technology.

Sixty-one percent of Europe's new energy capacity last year came from renewables, like wind.

Leading the rush to wind were the nations of Spain, Germany, Italy, France and the United Kingdom, all of which add the most capacity as the continent sought to favor renewables over energy from fossil fuels. Altogether, renewables accounted for 61 percent of the continent’s new generation in 2009.

Wind accounted for 39 percent of new capacity followed by gas, 26 percent, and solar, 16 percent, according to the European Wind Energy Association, a trade group.

Wind energy also grew in the U.S. last year, but at a considerably slower pace as a significant minority of citizens, largely Republicans, continue doubt the scientific evidence behind the earth’s warming.

In Europe, the fastest growth was in offshore farms, though on-land installations still made up the lion’s share of additions. Wind energy also was the most widely adopted technology in 2008.

Germany has the most wind installations followed by Spain.


Bridgelux Broadens LED Product Line As Prices Fall 30% To 60%

February 3, 2010

No more one size fits all.

LED lighting is bound to be a big market. But price needs to fall as lighting quality rises. And LED arrays need to come in a variety of shapes and sizes to satisfy the myriad needs of the lighting market.

Bridgelux broadens its line of LED arrays for lighting. No more one size fits all.

Some of these conditions will take a couple of years. One is being satisfied today.

Bridgelux is rolling out a second generation of LED arrays Wednesday that for the first time addresses the one-size-fits-all problem. They also make additional steps forward in price and efficiency.

LED lighting is a market waiting to happen. When $10 bulbs hit the market (Bridgelux President Mark Swoboda expects that to happen by the end of 2012) sales will take off. LEDs use one-fifth the power of incandescent bulbs and 12 percent less than compact fluorescents, with none of the mercury. At $10 they paybacks are obvious.

Today, bulbs costing $40 or so are finding early adopters among businesses that save on energy bills and labor costs. Because the bulbs last many years longer than incandescents, workers don’t need to be sent out with replacements as frequently.

Silicon Valley start-up Bridgelux says its new products give it a broader family of arrays than its rivals. The new items vary from 240 lumens in intensity to 4,500 (the 4,500 being appropriate for high intensity retail spot lighting, street and commercial applications).

The mainstream ES Arrays will be able to serve as replacements for 100-watt bulbs.

Prices for the new products will be 30 to 60 percent less than present Bridgelux arrays and efficiency will climb by 30 to 60 percent, Swodoba says.